Latest Survey Results: Prabowo-Gibran Lead in 2024 Presidential Election

Editorial Team, CNBC Indonesia

Wednesday, 01/31/2024 04:00 WIB

Photo: Illustration of Prabowo Subianto (left), Anies Baswedan (center), and Ganjar Pranowo (right). (Edward Ricardo/CNBC Indonesia)

Jakarta, CNBC Indonesia – Denny JA’s Indonesian Survey Circle (LSI) released the latest survey regarding the electability of participants in the 2024 presidential election. The results show that the electability of the Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka pair has reached 50%.

The results of this survey were presented by LSI researcher Dennya JA, Adjie Al Faraby, Tuesday (30/1/2024). The latest LSI Denny JA survey was conducted on January 16-26 2024.

The sampling method was multi-stage random sampling, obtaining 1,200 respondents. The data collection technique is face-to-face interviews using a questionnaire. In this survey the margin of error is +-2.9%.

In this survey, a ballot paper simulation was carried out with three pairs of participants in the 2024 presidential election. The results were as follows:

Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka 50.7%
Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar 22%
Ganjar Pranowo- Mahfud Md 19.7%
Invalid votes 0.7%
BM/Secret/TT/TJ 6.9%

“Prabowo-Gibran’s electability has already reached its peak magic number for 1 round 50.7%,” said LSI Dennya JA researcher, Adjie Al Faraby.

Adjie explained that the trend of increasing Prabowo-Gibran’s electability is around 4-5% since November 2023. If this trend continues until February 14 2024, then the opportunity for one round is open.

“If the upward trend is consistent at only 4-5%, then we can predict safely and consistently, then the potential for one round is really wide open,” he added.

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