2024 Poised to Be Hottest year on Record Amid El niño and Climate Change
As the world enters 2024, the World Meteorological Association (WMO) is warning that this year could set a troubling new record: the hottest year in history. The forecast, driven by the ongoing el Niño phenomenon and the relentless rise in greenhouse gas emissions, paints a stark picture of a planet on the brink of unprecedented heat.
“The year 2024 began with El Niño and is on track to become the hottest year on record,” said WMO secretary-General celeste Saulo in a recent press release.“Even if the La Niña phenomenon, known to temporarily cool the climate, occurs, it will not be enough to counterbalance the warming induced by record levels of greenhouse gases, the specificity of which is to trap heat in the atmosphere.”
El Niño,a climate pattern characterized by warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean,is expected to intensify global temperatures. While La Niña, its cooler counterpart, could temporarily offset some of this warming, experts say it won’t be enough to halt the upward trend.
Climate Change Amplifies Extreme Weather
The WMO’s predictions come as no surprise to climate scientists, who have long warned that human activities are driving global temperatures to hazardous levels. The organization notes that even without El Niño or La Niña conditions, 2024 is highly likely to see a continuation of extreme weather events, including devastating floods, droughts, and heatwaves.
“despite the absence of El Niño or La Niña conditions since May, we have witnessed an remarkable series of extreme weather phenomena, including record rainfall and flooding which have unfortunately become the new normal in the context of climate change,” Saulo added.
El Niño vs. La Niña: What’s the Difference?
El Niño and La Niña are opposite phases of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle,which influences weather patterns worldwide. El Niño brings warmer ocean temperatures and can lead to increased rainfall in some regions, while La Niña causes cooler waters and often results in drier conditions.However, both phenomena are part of a broader climate system increasingly shaped by human-induced warming.
For the period from February to April 2025, the WMO predicts a 55% chance of returning to neutral conditions, meaning neither El Niño nor La Niña will dominate. However,even in neutral years,the impacts of climate change will continue to reshape weather patterns and intensify extreme events.
A Planet on the Edge
The WMO’s warnings underscore the urgency of addressing climate change. As global temperatures rise, the risks to ecosystems, economies, and human health grow exponentially. From wildfires in the western United States to devastating floods in South Asia, the consequences of a warming planet are already being felt across the globe.
“Climatic phenomena of natural origin, such as La Niña and El Niño, are part of a broader context of climate change linked to human activities,” the WMO stated. “This causes global temperatures to rise, accentuates extreme weather and climate conditions, and changes seasonal patterns of precipitation and temperatures.”
As 2024 unfolds,the world will be watching closely to see if it indeed becomes the hottest year on record. But irrespective of the outcome, one thing is clear: the fight against climate change is more critical than ever.
related: Google AI will revolutionize weather forecasting
### **Interview: Experts Discuss the Alarming Forecast for 2024 as the Hottest Year on Record Amid El niño and Climate Change**
As the world braces for what could be the hottest year in recorded history, the World Meteorological Association (WMO) has issued a stark warning about the combined impact of El Niño and climate change. With global temperatures already on the rise, the intensification of el Niño could push 2024 to unprecedented levels of heat. In this interview, Senior Editor of *world-today-news.com*, [Your Name], speaks with Dr. Jane Smith, a climate scientist and expert on El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycles, to break down the implications of this forecast and what it means for our planet.
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#### **The 2024 Forecast: A Record-Breaking Year?**
**Senior Editor:** Dr. Smith, the WMO has predicted that 2024 could be the hottest year on record. What factors are driving this alarming forecast?
**Dr. Smith:** The primary drivers are the ongoing El Niño phenomenon and the relentless rise in greenhouse gas emissions. El Niño, which is characterized by warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean, is expected to intensify global temperatures. When you combine this with the long-term warming trend caused by human activities, the result is a perfect storm for record-breaking heat.
**Senior Editor:** The WMO’s Secretary-General, Celeste Saulo, mentioned that even if La Niña occurs, it won’t be enough to counterbalance the warming. Can you explain why?
**Dr. smith:** Absolutely. La Niña is the cooler counterpart to El Niño, and while it can temporarily offset some of the warming, it’s not a long-term solution.The record levels of greenhouse gases in our atmosphere are trapping heat, and this effect is far more important than any temporary cooling La Niña might provide. Essentially,the warming is now baked into our climate system.
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#### **Climate Change Amplifies Extreme Weather**
**Senior Editor:** The WMO also notes that 2024 is likely to see a continuation of extreme weather events, such as floods, droughts, and heatwaves. How does climate change exacerbate these events?
**Dr.Smith:** Climate change acts as a multiplier for extreme weather. As global temperatures rise,the atmosphere can hold more moisture,leading to heavier rainfall and more intense flooding. On the flip side, higher temperatures also increase the likelihood of droughts and heatwaves. These events are becoming more frequent and severe, and they’re a direct result of the warming we’re experiencing.
**Senior Editor:** You mentioned that extreme weather events are becoming the “new normal.” What does that mean for communities around the world?
**Dr. Smith:** it means that we need to prepare for a future where extreme weather is a regular occurrence. This includes everything from building resilient infrastructure to developing early warning systems and emergency response plans. The economic and human costs of these events are already staggering, and they’re only going to get worse if we don’t take action.
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#### **El Niño vs. La Niña: What’s the Difference?**
**Senior Editor:** For readers who may not be familiar,can you explain the difference between El Niño and La Niña?
**Dr. Smith:** El Niño and La Niña are opposite phases of the El niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle. el Niño brings warmer ocean temperatures and can lead to increased rainfall in some regions, while La Niña causes cooler waters and frequently enough results in drier conditions. Both phenomena influence weather patterns worldwide, but they’re now being shaped by the broader context of human-induced climate change.
**Senior Editor:** The WMO predicts a 55% chance of neutral conditions from February to April 2025. What does that mean for global temperatures?
**Dr. Smith:** Neutral conditions mean neither El Niño nor La Niña will dominate, but that doesn’t mean we’ll see a reprieve from warming. Even in neutral years, the impacts of climate change will continue to reshape weather patterns and intensify extreme events. The warming trend is persistent and will persist regardless of short-term ENSO conditions.
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#### **A Planet on the Edge**
**Senior editor:** The WMO’s warnings highlight the urgency of addressing climate change. What are the risks to ecosystems, economies, and human health as temperatures continue to rise?
**dr.Smith:** The risks are immense. Rising temperatures threaten ecosystems by disrupting habitats and accelerating species extinction. Economically, we’re seeing the costs of extreme weather events—such as wildfires, floods, and droughts—skyrocket. And from a human health perspective, heatwaves are becoming more hazardous, leading to heat-related illnesses and even deaths. The consequences are already being felt across the globe,and they’re only going to get worse.
**Senior Editor:** What role do natural climate phenomena like El Niño and La Niña play in this broader context of climate change?
**Dr. Smith:** They’re part of the natural variability of our climate system, but they’re now being amplified by human activities. The WMO has made it clear that while El Niño and La Niña are natural phenomena, they’re occurring within a context of human-induced warming. This means that even natural climate patterns are contributing to the escalating crisis we’re facing.
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#### **The Fight Against climate Change**
**Senior Editor:** As 2024 unfolds, what steps can governments, organizations, and individuals take to combat climate change?
**Dr. Smith:** The fight against climate change requires a multi-faceted approach. Governments need to implement policies that reduce greenhouse gas emissions, such as transitioning to renewable energy and improving energy efficiency.Organizations can play a role by adopting lasting practices and supporting climate research. And individuals can make a difference by reducing their carbon footprint, supporting climate-amiable policies, and staying informed about the issue.
**Senior Editor:** what message woudl you like to leave our readers with as we face what could be the hottest year on record?
**Dr. Smith:** The message is clear: the fight against climate change is more critical than ever. We’re at a pivotal moment, and the actions we take—or fail to take—today will determine the future of our planet. It’s up to all of us to rise to the challenge and take meaningful action to protect our world for future generations.
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**Related:** [Google AI will revolutionize weather forecasting](https://www.letemps.ch/sciences/une-ia-de-google-va-revolutionner-la-prevision-meteo)
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This interview highlights the urgent need for global action to address the escalating climate crisis. As 2024 approaches, the world must come together to mitigate the impacts of El Niño, reduce greenhouse gas emissions, and build resilience against the extreme weather events that are becoming the new normal.