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Kohaku Uta Gassen competitive forecast for 2024

Crazy nuts? Da-iCE? Kenshi Yonezu? Four writers make detailed predictions on this year’s lineup


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“NHK Kohaku Uta Gassen,” a large-scale live special on New Year’s Eve, will be held for the 75th time this year. There are always a series of beautiful faces on this program who were active that year as contestants, and there are many artists who are active with the goal of participating in Kohaku, and all when the end of the year approaches, people ask, “Who will be participating?” is a topic that interests people.

In this article, we asked four different types of writers/bloggers to predict this year’s Kohaku contestants. We asked them to think about three topics: “3 of the artists appearing for the first time,” “a special project,” and “every bird of the red and white groups”. Why not make your own predictions about the contestants while commenting on these comments?

Composition / Shohei Hashimoto

* Contributors listed in alphabetical order

table of contents

Kei’s (music chart analyst) prediction is…

3 groups in the first view

special project

Tori

The Billboard JAPAN song chart, which is made up of various performers and largely reflects the popularity of subscriptions, plays a major role in the selection criteria for the first Kohaku contest. Creepy Nuts, whose song “Bling-Bang-Bang-Born” is sure to be number one this year and also a huge hit overseas, hasYOASOBIYou can expect an “idol” level.

Among idol/dance vocal groups, Da-iCE, whose song “I wonder” has been a hit on subscriptions and SNS, will be making their highly anticipated debut from a long time ago. Also, if Yorushika, who is in charge of the ending song for the NHK anime “Chi. – Earth Movements”, will definitely be a hot topic on the internet. Songs related to NHK tend to be sung on Kohaku.

NHK has announced that they will begin recruiting talent from STARTO ENTERTAINMENT, but based on the October 20 broadcast of “NHK Special Delving into the Reality of the “Idol Empire” Produced by Johnny Kitagawa, “we are the expect the number of participants to decrease (If you look at the music charts, you would think that the decline would be natural.) If I participated, I would have achieved a million in corporate singles.Snowmanand “Fatale” hit subscriptions.Kento NakajimaMr. andKitani TatsuyaGEMN is owned by Mr. Also in the next morning drama “Anpan”Kazakhstan NinomiyaArashi, who went on hiatus on New Year’s Eve 2020, may be making a comeback on the occasion of their 25th anniversary since their debut. There may be many other singers who will “resurrect” with Kohaku this year. We are also paying attention to whether Kana Nishino and YOSHIKI, who have been regulars, will participate as part of X JAPAN this year.

(Whether Kohaku chooses to use singers belonging to STARTO ENTERTAINMENT or not, NHK will not escape criticism. I think they should have presented the criteria for resuming the use of singers in advance, and I think the network should have properly reflected on themselves.) My personal opinion is that I doubt there will be any. I hope NHK will take a responsible attitude.)

As factors such as anniversary commemorations, year-end and new year releases, and appearances on NHK specials are likely to lead to participation in Kohaku, original albums are expected to be released.All southern starsMariya Takeuchi, who is celebrating her 45th anniversary, may be taking part. In that case, the performance of “Soan”‘ by Tatsuro Yamashita, in which Mariya and the Kuwata couple participated in the chorus, heals the “much sadness” behind the condition of Kohaku’s theme and pray for the end. the war

Of course, the probability that Tatsuro Yamashita will participate is very low, but if he serves as Mariya Takeuchi’s backing band, the possibility is not zero. However, in the current situation where Kohaku is increasing its relationship with the Internet, I feel that it is necessary to at least release the performance song on the subscription service as a condition for participation.

Yes

A music chart analyst who lives in the Tsugaru area of ​​Aomori Prefecture. The blog “Imaoto – Blog that follows current music -” is updated daily, and the podcast program “Billboard Top Hits” is updated weekly. So far, he has contributed to “Impress Watch”, “TOKION”, “uDiscovermusic Japan Edition”, “NumberWeb”, etc.

Nori Shibana (music journalist) has the predictions…

3 of the first participants

special project

Tori

NHK uses three criteria in its selection: “Achievements of the year,” “Support from public opinion,” and “Program planning and production.” sa, I think the most definitive group to debut was Creepy Nuts, whose song “Bling-Bang-Bang-Born” became a key song representing the year. Their new song “Otonoke”, which was performed on NHK’s special program “Venue 101 Presents Creepy Nuts THE LIVE” that started the other day, is also a hit. After last year’s Vaundy and last year’s Mrs.GREEN APPLE, I have a feeling that she will rise to become a national artist from her first appearance at Kohaku.

Number_i is also a strong candidate. Since their debut with “GOAT” in January of this year, their popularity has continued to grow, and they have been in the top 10 of the Billboard JAPAN artist charts for a long time. I feel like it will be a symbol of the current music scene, where the power balance of male dance and vocal groups is changing a lot. Maybe the song they sing will be “INZM”.

I predict that FRUITS ZIPPER will likely appear in the Red Team for the first time. Their signature song “My Cutest Place”, which has been viewed 900 million times on TikTok, entered the top 5 on Billboard JAPAN’s Top User Songs chart in September this year, and It’s still a viral hit two years after its release. Inside. Appearing at a time when the number of appearances on TV programs is increasing and recognition is spreading, I think it will give an idea of ​​a generational change in female idol groups.

As for the specific project, I chose it with anticipation rather than expectation. This year was a year in which the morning drama “Tiger ni Tsubasa” attracted a lot of attention. StarSari ItoSince he will be hosting Kohaku, many viewers will be looking forward to the first performance of Kenshi Yonezu’s “Sayonara Matata Itsuka!”.

As for Tori, for the past few years the team has been whiteMasaharu Fukuyamathe red teamDEAR MOTHERSHowever, I think it’s time for a change. Today, the number of Japanese music listeners is increasing not only in Japan but also in other countries in Asia and other countries, and the world of music is becoming more global. . I hope that the two groups that have dominated the J-Pop scene in recent years will be able to update the overall tone of the program.

Shibana Nori

Music journalist. He became independent after working for Rocking On. He conducts interviews and writes articles on a wide range of subjects, particularly music and business. Her books include “Hit Songs of the Heisei Era,” “Why Hatsune Miku Changed the World?” and “The Collapse of Hits,” and she is the co-author of “Shibuya Music Encyclopedia” and “Vocaloid Song Guide 100 Famous Songs.”

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