[Keenland C / Cavallo popolare pericoloso]The popular horse is rated as "canceled" in the previous race "the most blessed"

On 28 August 17 ・Keeneland C(GIII, 1200m turf).

Looking at the riders scheduled to run, the 3-year-old horse that won the Aoi Stakes in his previous outingWin MarvelLast year’s winner, led byRayariaAnd he won by eliminating the Ibis SD with a brilliant trailing legbelieverthe winner of the year before the last and the runner-up last yeareighteen years oldHe won his first open win at Fukushima TV OP in the previous race.opal charmwill also participate.

The favorites from 6th to 9th in the center hole also performed well, with 7 betting tickets, and in 2015 Ukiyonokaze won from the 8th favorite. Also, it’s best to pay attention to the many good filly series like 2021’s Eighteen Girl, 2020’s Dimension, and 2018’s Peisha Felicita.

◆[Previsione Keenland Cup 2022 / Strategia dei dati – Parte 2]The Allure of “Declining Popularity” due to Overwhelming Defeat in the Previous Race What is a “candidate to win” even if the winning percentage exceeds 30%?

[Keenland C/Acquisizione dati – Parte 2]The fascination of “decreasing in popularity” due to a crushing defeat in the previous race.

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This time, Keenland C’s “dangerous hot horse”Is the 3 year old horse that won the Aoi Stakes in his previous race.Win Marvelis.

■ Last year, the world of sprinting was dominated by 3-year-old horses, but …

3-year-old Win Marvel (3 horses, Miura Masashi Miyama Stable) will face his old horse for the first time. Although it took 6 races to win, he showed a taste of his talent from the early stages, such as winning the Fukushima 2 Years Stakes in the next race. In the first round of the new year, the Falcon S lost in 15th place, but won the Tachibana S, which was the listed race in the next race, with a good time of 0.1 seconds behind the record. In the next Aoi Stakes, when he entered the straight from 8th on the road with exceptional stamina, he made a strong cut and won a full win with two and a half horsepower. With two consecutive victories, he has won his first place prize. He is extremely good in the 1200 meters with 3 wins, 2 finishes and 1 out of 7 races.

However, there are two points of concern this time around. this is,”Low previous execution level“When”presence of isomorphism“is.

First of all I will talk about the “low level of the previous race”. If you look at the results of horses that ran Aoi Stakes in their previous race and performed well on the bulletin board,

・ Aoi S’s Runaway Horse
└ 1st place[Vinci Marvel]
→ Next race scheduled “Keenland C”.
└ 2a[Strada Comstock]
→ Next race “Paradise S (6 popular) 4a”, 2nd race “Fukushima TV OP (1 popular) 4a”
└ 3rd place[Lee senza respiro]
→ Next race “Unzen Special (1 favorite) 2nd”, 2nd race “Yabakei Special (2 favorites) 3rd”
└ 4th[Vinci il monarca]
→ time to be undecided
└5[Kaika no Kiseki]
→ Next run “Ena special (1 favorite) 10th”, 2nd run “Unzen special (3 favorites) 7”

In this way, none of the 2nd to 5th place runners, including runners who did not start in the next race, won the previous race, and while they all ran with some popularity due to their “light weight”, they are still popular.I can’t answer and I’m running poorly.

This was due to the fact that the “headwind” was blowing harder in a straight line than the usual Aoi Stakes, making it more difficult for runners on the run and in the lead, and that horses who were able to create a wall in the front of midfield was more likely to develop. In other words, it was a race where the best performing runners were blessed with good developments and the difference between the jockeys was great. Considering that all top-tier horses run mediocre in their next race, it seems that history will change if the “most blessed” horse manages to run well in the Keeneland Cup this time around.

◆[Previsione/Diagnosi di follow-up della Keenland Cup 2022]The sign is a very popular corner with an “S” rating “I was able to use my body flexibly”

[Keenland C / Chasing Diagnosis]Signs are a huge popularity “S” rating “I was able to use my body flexibly”

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Next, I would like to explain “the existence of isomorphism”. In the Aoi Stakes of the previous game he managed to deal with the midfielder’s makome, and he too felt a good response in the four corners. On the straight the front opened beautifully and slowed down for a while, but after the last 300m it was carried back to the right front and it was a victory that passed the 1F mark, but originally it was dexterity to get some position in advance at the gate.

However, this time around, old horses with “good rank” as a weapon are rounded up. It has a leg quality similar to Win Marvel, which is stable on short runs.Ruby pink Shigerufinished second in the Hakodate Sprint Stakesjubilee leaderNHK Mile C also hit the escape handToshin Macaoand winning streak aheadVatreniIt can be assumed that the leading group will be crowded and flowing.

Win Marvel has room to pass Ten’s speed even as he joins this team and is looking to get a position because he has the speed to catch Ten in the first 33 seconds to the end of the 33 seconds in the last 5 races. the leading horses listed above are slower than Ten and there is a chance that Win Marvel, who showed a winning side in the previous race, will take the lead.

If this happens, there is a chance that he will be targeted by old horses that are chasing a good position. As a 3-year-old horse, weight can be an advantage, but there is also a high chance that the horse will feel the pressure and gasp and drop the board.

From the above concerns, we also considered the ticket-like appeal for betting and one of the most popularWin Marvelfrom”To delete“. If you imagine the composition of this year’s members and the pace on the road,jubilee leadercentered onMeisho Mimosa、roadmax、Vatreni、VentovoceTherefore, we would like to give a higher ranking to horses that can start running from a certain position and can respond instantly even at a high pace.