[FTNN新聞網]Text/Zheng Zilong (Adjunct Professor, School of Communication, Chengchi University)
Speaking of which, the last scene that determines whether blue and white will combine or break up will be held at the Ma Ying-jeou Foundation on November 15. Before the meeting, Ke Wenzhe walked into the venue with a smile on his face. Unexpectedly, he went to the meeting in high spirits and broke through alone. But he was frightened at every step and prepared to devour his Three Wolves Formation. There is a saying that “Ke Wenzhe accidentally broke into the Three Wolves Formation, and Ma Ying-jeou pretended to be a pig to eat the tiger.”
In the three-wolf formation, two wolves were open opponents, and the other was a secret arbiter who acted as the arbiter of the White Way. Sure enough, two hours later, Ke Wenzhe appeared in front of the media with a shit face and three smiling faces, showing This is a treaty that even an idiot would know is unequal—
The two parties reached consensus:
1. Former President Ma Ying-jeou, the Kuomintang, and the People’s Party each recommend a polling statistics expert.
2. Polling statistics experts will review and evaluate the polling results announced by all sectors of society from November 7 to November 17, and the Kuomintang and the People’s Party will each provide an internal reference polling result.
3. Both parties agree that if it exceeds the statistical error, the winner will get one point; if it is within the statistical error range, Hou Ke will get one point.
4. On the morning of Saturday, November 18, the Ma Ying-jeou Foundation announced the results.
5. After the Blue and White merger, the two parties will jointly form a campaign committee to assist in the selection of presidential and vice presidential candidates, as well as legislative candidates recommended by the two parties. There will be no division of party votes, and each party will work on its own.
6. Witnessed by former President Ma, the Kuomintang and the People’s Party promised to establish a model for Taiwan’s third wave of democratic reforms and must form a coalition government. Except for national defense, foreign affairs, and cross-strait affairs, which are decided by the president, the rest of the ministries are in principle distributed according to the number of legislative seats of each party. The People’s Party is responsible for supervision and checks and balances, and the Kuomintang is responsible for construction and development.
Ko Wenzhe was “crying with bitterness” in the face of “paper full of nonsense.” This was the first time in Taiwan’s electoral history that the “Nanjing Treaty” was abandoned. If you look closely at the content of the agreement, it is not weird but naked and eaten alive –
1. The three polling experts formed a 2:1 ratio. Even if they have objections and lose by raising their hands, does Representative Ke Fang have room to comment?
2. They actually looked back at old polls. Some polls were obviously unfriendly to Ke Ji. Why were they used? And why was it 11/7 when the Hou polls started to pick up, instead of 10/15 a month ago? Was Zhuang Xiaowei the choice of deadline?
3. Ke has to win by more than 3% to be considered a winner, but Hou loses by 2.9%. How is the difference of 6% justified? Hou is also willing to accept this humiliating victory? Ke Yuan promised that Hou Ying should be included in the statistical error. He should be referring to the new polls. Why do the old polls also count?
4. The period for accepting candidate registration is from November 20th to 24th. Why not postpone the announcement until the 22nd so that both parties have a complete week and three days on Sunday to conduct new polls?
5. The regional legislator has a constituency that has strong influence. What should I do?
6. It is even more mysterious. The president has power over the prime minister, but the agreement says in black and white that “the Kuomintang is responsible for supervision and checks and balances, and the Kuomintang is responsible for construction and development.” Sure enough, Zhuang Xiaowei, is it true that even if Ko Wenzhe wins in the polls, the Kuomintang will still be responsible for construction? development, controlling important ministries, the Kuomintang can only act as an opposition supervision and check, and the KMT will take all agreements anyway. Ko Wenzhe accepted a TV interview that day and said that the People’s Party can control the Ministry of Justice, NCC, and Financial Supervisory Commission, but don’t forget that the NCC is an independent agency with a term limit for committee members, and no one can oust them before their term is up.
Ke Wenzhe is extremely smart, with an IQ of 157. Why did he agree to such a condition? The agreement is obviously unreasonable. There are rumors in the world that the two parties have made peace before the meeting. This may not be true. If they had made peace, Ke would not have smiled before the meeting. After the meeting, he looked helpless and suppressed his anger. The white arbiter was still in his ears. While whispering, “You didn’t expect such a day to happen.”
Is there any inside story that is not humane to outsiders? The only possibility is that when the four people meet alone, the three wolves set up a formation and show a piece of evidence that Ke can be killed with one shot, so that the strong Ke can give in. But who provides the evidence? There are several possibilities:
One is China.
Ke Wenzhe went to China to teach Ye Kemu in the early days. Did someone catch him during this period? Now he just happened to take action, but when he thought about it, it was not right. China’s goal should be to bring down Lai Qingde, and the combat power against Lai, Ke is stronger than Hou, so there is no reason to come forward to rectify Ke and let Hou from the second army fight against the powerful DPP.
The second is the Kuomintang.
During the Taipei mayoral election in 2014, the Kuomintang used MG149 to repair Ko, questioning Ko’s private accounts outside MG149, which were suspected of corruption, money laundering, tax evasion, etc. After Ko was elected, the Taipei District Prosecutor’s Office still left the case to him. Transfer the case to investigation; I don’t know if the Kuomintang has other black information on hand.
The third is Ma Ying-jeou
Ma Ying-jeou plays the role of the arbiter of the White House this time. Ma was the president from 2008 to 2016, which overlapped for one and a half years with Ko when he was the mayor of Taipei in 2014. The president reads the National Security Council every day. Is it a “Hundred Officials”? Just in case? I don’t know, but given Ma’s personality, that shouldn’t be the case.
The fourth is the Democratic Progressive Party.
Ko Wenzhe was a green man in his early years, and his behavior should be known to friends of the Democratic Progressive Party. Moreover, the Democratic Progressive Party has been in power since 2016 and has been in power for nearly 8 years. It also mostly overlapped with the period when Ko was the mayor of Taipei. Therefore, if he really has Ko’s The Democratic Progressive Party is also a possibility; what’s more, on the afternoon of the agreement, Ke Wenzhe attended a youth symposium and said that he hated “cockroaches, mosquitoes, and the Kuomintang,” but now “hates the DPP even more.” He said it through gritted teeth, and it was not like he was just pretending. .
However, there should be some observers who will question, if there is really dirty information, why does the DPP not fight it on its own, but hand it over to the Hou camp? There will be such doubts, saying that they do not understand the election. In the election of the Triangle Governor, A holds B’s blackmail. The information will be typed through C, firstly dog bites dog, and secondly, to keep one’s hands clear of mud to show one’s aristocracy; such an example happened in 2000. The Kuomintang had the information on Soong Yu’s voting case, which was originally intended to be handed over to Chen Shui-bian. , but A Bian, who was good at elections, was not fooled, and finally the Kuomintang took action on its own.
Is there a fifth situation? Yes, it was someone within the Kuomintang or early staff who handed over black information to the Kuomintang as a “testimonial” for promotion. It was terrifying, the world was sinister, and there were undercover agents everywhere.
Which situation is the most likely? Readers, just think of Conan’s reasoning. “There is only one truth.” As for 11/18, there probably won’t be any surprises. With the combination of Hou Ke and Hou Ke, how will the two of them race on? Just wait and see what happens next time.
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2023-11-16 08:16:20
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