JPMorgan “Corona 19 Pandemic, May End in April”

Input 2021.02.15 13:36

It is predicted that the global pandemic of the novel coronavirus infection (Corona 19) could be subsided by April. –

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According to US Economic Week Barron’s, analyst Marco Collanovik JPMorgan predicted in a report released on the 12th (local time) that “the current trend will show a sharp decline within 40 to 70 days.” . This means that the corona19 infection situation can be subsided in late March or late April.

JP Morgan analysts including Kolanovic said that the British mutant virus (B.1.1.7.), which is more contagious than the existing Corona 19, has been found in more than 30 states in the United States, but is not of great concern. Although the mutant virus is spreading, it is argued that the pandemic will end in the second quarter due to the spread of the vaccine, natural immunity, and seasonality, and the overall corona 19 infection is slowing.

The research team also analyzed that the spread of Corona 19 has peaked in Europe and the United States, and that the emergence of the mutant virus from the UK did not have a significant impact to reverse the overall decline caused by vaccines, natural immunity, and seasonal factors.

Currently, half of the inpatients and 85% of deaths due to severe corona in the world are accounted for by the elderly aged 65 and over.It is also the main reason for the positive outlook that the impact will be significant if a major vaccination against them All.

After the Christmas holiday last year, the number of confirmed cases peaked in the United States and Denmark, following a similar trend to the United Kingdom, and then began to decrease.

The trend of confirmation in 25 countries that started vaccination was also analyzed that for every 10% increase in vaccination, the average rate of infected patients decreased to 117 per million. If precautions such as vaccination rate and current social distancing are maintained, the pandemic stage can be ended within 40 to 70 days.

Barrence, however, said that JPMorgan’s estimates assumed that there were no problems with vaccine launch and supply, and did not take into account regional and demographic differences and uneven distribution of vaccines. Drew a line that it was not the general view

JPMorgan feared that the economic crisis caused by the pandemic could last longer (than the pandemic). He recommended that the market’s downtrend be used as an investment opportunity.

According to World O Meter, an international statistics website, the cumulative number of corona 19 confirmed cases around the world as of the 14th is 109,322129, and the cumulative number of deaths is 24,11,000.

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