This Friday, the Central Government and the Autonomous Communities have begun to lay the foundations for the de-escalation of the confinement. According to Cadena SER, the Ministry of Health has begun to study the markers of the pandemic that should guide the way to the so-called ‘new normal’ throughout the month of May. Four guidelines that should be applied to the figures of each community to know whether or not it is ready to start lifting the confinement. Our land, as it happens with other Andalusian provinces, still does not pass three of the four rules.
Contagion rate for each infected
This is the first of the established rules for calculating the incidence of the pandemic and the possibilities of de-escalation. The area should carry a contagion rate below one for at least two weeks.
In the case of Jaén, in recent weeks, this rate has not been reached at the moment, and in the last fourteen days, eight people have been infected in one day, the closest number, on three non-consecutive occasions.
Cumulative incidence of cases
This parameter should indicate that 50% of the ICU beds occupied by COVID-19 patients are free. Requirement that Jaén meets today, since the province has among the hospital centers of Jaén, Linares, Úbeda and Andújar with a total of 56 ICU beds, of which only 21 are occupied.
Hospital rate
When the hospitalization rate does not exceed 30% of all those affected, the de-escalation process could begin. In the case of Jaén, the total The cumulative number of confirmed coronavirus cases since the pandemic began is 1383 people. 30% would mean a total of 594 hospitalized, while the figure we found is 674.
ICU occupancy rate
Indicates that the incidence rate is 2 new cases per 100,000 inhabitants. Jaén ranks as the second Andalusian province with the highest rate, behind Granada. It has a total of 218, and has presented a increase of 51 cases per 100,000 inhabitants in the last two weeks, according to the figures offered by the Ministry of Health.
Despite these data and according to sources from the Junta de Andalucía, Jaén presents a hopeful panorama. The number of hospitalized has decreased by 22 in just three days, leaving at 98 the number of people who are hospitalized today. 77 remain in the plant and 21 the UCIs of the province.
The 9,000 Plan created by the Board envisaged 400 hospitalized in Jaén, a figure that at its maximum peak, reached on April 4, has been slightly more than half, giving a total of 209. The different resources planned to cover hospital needs in the capital such as the opening of the second floor of El Neveral, the habilitation of the Puerta de Andalucía Complex as a hospital center for 120 senior citizens or the medicalization of 84 rooms at the Infanta Cristina Hotel, they did not have to be used, even during the peak of the health crisis.
We remember that these data will not be studied in a provincialized way, but the average that arises from the eight Andalusian territories will make up that of the Autonomous Community, which will be the one taken into account to begin the process of gradual return to normality.
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