Five days from the end, the race for the White House is running high between Donald Trump and Joe Biden. The political battle for the conquest of “swing states” can be decisive to unbalance the North American presidential elections. Everyone knows it, especially the two opponents. It is in these more volatile states in voting intentions that everything can change.
One such case is Florida, where the two candidates held rallies this Thursday. Tomorrow, the swing states tour continues: Trump continues to hunt for votes in Georgia and Pennsylvania, crossing again with Biden in Michigan, who also travels to Iowa and Wisconsin. Who has the most pace in the swing states?
At the national level, according to a CNN poll, the Democrat continues to lead with 54% of voting intentions, while the Republican rival for re-election remains at 42%. However, this should not reassure Joe Biden, as it is enough to remember what happened in 2016, when Hillary Clinton prevailed in the polls, even added 337,636 thousand popular votes, but even so she was defeated.
In the USA, the electoral system is different. It is not enough to win at the polls; it is necessary to win at the Electoral College, obtaining the majority of the 538 votes of the delegates. And this is where the swing states come in, which can cause a ‘twist’.
The winning candidate must collect 270 votes from delegates to become President, and in total, these states elect 125 representatives: Florida (29), Pennsylvania (20), Ohio (18), Michigan (16), North Carolina (15 ), Arizona (11), Wisconsin (10) and Iowa (6).
And how is the polling dance going around these places? In Florida, the most swinging swing state, Biden collects 51% of voting intentions, against Trump’s 43.6%. A similar result can be seen in Pennsylvania, where the Democrat gets 50.5% and the Republican gets 45.2%. A similar trend, with an equal balance of forces, is also seen in Arizona and Wisconsin.
The trend continues in Michigan, where Joe Biden leads with 50.5%, ahead of Donald Trump’s 43%. Tighter is the scenario in North Carolina, where Biden has two percentage points more than the current president of the United States. The balance is even more balanced only in Iowa, where the Democrat seems to convince 47.3% of the electorate, with only three tenths of advantage.
Among swing states, only Ohio seems to be a more favorable territory for Republicans, where Trump takes the lead with 48.5% of the vote intentions, closely followed by Biden, with 46.6% of the preferences.
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