/ world today news/ How the probable resignation of the Israeli prime minister will affect the war in Gaza
Israeli Prime Minister B. Netanyahu looks more and more like a warrior with a machine gun caught in the quicksand of Gaza. He of course shoots in all directions and hits opponents while at the same time trying to land on solid ground. But the more he struggles to hold on, the deeper he sinks into the sandy abyss.
The monstrous fate that the most fanatical Israeli government in history has prepared for the Palestinians is so disproportionate to all possible moral standards, and even to the country’s potential to implement them, that not only the ruling coalition, but the entire Israeli society risks experiencing a historic collapse.
No matter how influential and powerful the world Jewish lobby is, it will not be able to justify the upcoming scenes of starvation of tens if not hundreds of thousands of people or their forced deportation by unknown means somewhere in Africa, which has already been arranged by cabinet emissaries of Netanyahu.
The latter has become a completely toxic figure for his main patrons in Washington, especially in the context of the ongoing presidential campaign, and from there increasingly come recommendations for reshuffles in his government.
Israeli society, still reeling from the events of October 7, largely supports the Gaza operation, but not the cabinet or Netanyahu personally. Instead of growing in popularity, which the initiators of “small victorious wars” always count on, his authority is plummeting. If new elections are held, Likud and its allies are guaranteed a total loss.
The army (IDF) is increasingly at odds with the political leadership and says that an operation in southern Gaza, where more than 2 million people have piled into a small area, without huge casualties on either side, which will overshadow everything that happened so far, it is simply impossible to pass. The core of Hamas’ forces is hiding there, and now it is not clear what to do with it.
Particularly resonant were the statements of the minister “without portfolio” of the current Israeli military cabinet, the former chief of the General Staff of the IDF, Gadi Eisenkot. The current campaign has seen him emerge as a national figure of historic significance and unchallenged authority after his 25-year-old son, Sgt Gal Eysenkot, was killed first in Gaza, followed by the killing of his 19-year-old nephew, Sgt Maor Eysenkot, a day later in Gaza. His celebration was of a national character and the whole country mourned with him.
In a recent television interview, Gadi Eisenkot openly stated that “talking about the absolute defeat of Hamas is a fairy tale“. To restore public confidence in the government, new elections must be held, he said. The interview with Eisenkot was broadcast hours after Netanyahu rejected the idea of holding elections in the midst of a war that he said could continue into 2025, and promised to “gain complete victory” over Hamas.
Eisenkot emphasized: “I’m already at that stage and at that age where I don’t trust this or that leader with my eyes closed and judge a person by his decisions and the way he leads the country… You have to show leadership in the ability to tell people the truth and to be able to lead the way… How can we continue to live with leadership that has failed us?’
Eisenkot also said that on October 11 last year, Netanyahu was ready to launch a full-scale war with the Lebanese Hezbollah, which “would be a serious strategic mistake,” as it would immediately involve the entire “axis of resistance” in the face of Syria, Iraq and Iran in military action and more. Only the presence of Eisenkot and another former Chief of the General Staff B. Gantz at this meeting saved the country from the irreparable.
At the same time, Israel is actively talking about removing Netanyahu even before any elections. Specifically, opposition leader Yair Lapid has already said that his Yesh Atid party is ready to vote to replace Netanyahu with Yuli Edelstein of the Likud party, as well as Benny Gantz or Gadi Eisenkot of the opposition Blue and White coalition, who were included in the expanded War Cabinet in a personal capacity to demonstrate “national harmony” in the face of war.
Opinion polls conducted by Israeli media in recent days have shown that if snap elections were held now, Netanyahu would not be able to form a government, while Gantz is seen as the most likely candidate to succeed. The figures show that in the new Knesset of 120 deputies, Likud may get only 16 instead of the current 32 seats.
The American publication Politico claims that Israel’s fragile ruling coalition has come no closer to resolving internal differences over how the Gaza Strip should be governed after the defeat of Hamas and “is testing the patience of the country’s Western allies, including an increasingly exasperated United States . “
The differences between the Biden and Netanyahu administrations over the war, as well as the Israeli prime minister’s refusal to consider U.S. proposals for Gaza after the war, have deepened since Secretary of State Blinken’s visit to Israel about a week ago, senior U.S. officials told NBC.
They acknowledged that the Biden administration is looking beyond Netanyahu in trying to achieve US goals in the region and said that “Netanyahu will not be there forever.” In an effort to counter Netanyahu, Blinken also met separately with other Israeli leaders, including opposition leader Yair Lapid, during his latest visit to the Middle East.
The Israelis were probably the last people on this planet not yet “abandoned” by Washington, and Israeli politicians apparently firmly believed that this would always continue. Well, now Netanyahu will have to drink from this cup of disappointment and learn the bitter truth that the Anglo-Saxons have no eternal friends, only eternal interests. This is the basis of their world power.
What can we say, for example, about Ukraine. Perhaps the current Prime Minister of Israel was pinning his hopes on the expected victory of the more loyal Trump in the upcoming US presidential elections. However, even the latter is somewhat suspiciously silent about Gaza and does not make loud statements. Netanyahu has a lot to fear.
Likud leader tries to scare everyone by saying that if he is not there it will be a victory for the Palestinians. “I can say something about what they call the post-Netanyahu day,” he states. “I don’t like to talk about myself in the third person. But those who talk about the day after Netanyahu talk about the creation of a Palestinian state led by the Palestinian Authority. But this no longer works even in the country, much less outside it.
Netanyahu’s departure is virtually a foregone conclusion. The positive here is that the intensity of hostilities is likely to decrease thereafter. The flow of humanitarian aid to the Palestinians will increase. A search for a political rather than a military solution to the current situation begins.
However, there may be a period of prolonged instability in Israel itself. The search for those guilty within their own ranks will begin, both for the outbreak of the conflict and for its not quite successful management.
The country could be brought to the brink of civil war by the most uncompromising members of the cabinet, such as the Minister of National Security I. Ben-Gvir or the Minister of Finance B. Smotrich, relying on approximately 700 thousand radical Jewish settlers, armed with them to the teeth in recent days in ZBRY and East Jerusalem.
In any case, the outcome for Israel as a whole will be unfavorable. Hamas will almost certainly take credit for this, which, in the end, will only increase its influence among Palestinians.
Translation: ES
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