US President-elect Donald Trump (left) and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (right). Newsis
Axios, an American political media outlet, reported on the 25th (local time) that Israel and Hezbollah, a pro-Iranian armed group in Lebanon, have agreed to a cease-fire plan led by the United States. On the same day, CNN and the Times of Israel reported that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu “approved in principle” the ceasefire plan.
A senior U.S. government official quoted by Axios said, “The Israeli security cabinet is expected to approve the ceasefire agreement on Tuesday (26th).” “We have reached an agreement, we are at the goal line, but we have not crossed it yet,” he said. “Until then, something could go wrong at any time.”
This ceasefire plan includes a 60-day transition period between Israel and Hezbollah. During this period, it was reported that the ceasefire included a proposal for the Israeli army to withdraw from the area south of the Litani River in south-central Lebanon, and for Hezbollah to move heavy weapons to the north of the Litani River. Additionally, both sides plan to begin negotiations to establish a border in the future, and a U.S.-led management committee will monitor whether the provisions of the ceasefire are being implemented.
However, many predict that it is still difficult to guarantee whether a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah will actually be achieved. CNN, citing multiple sources, reported that negotiations were still ongoing over the details and that a cease-fire agreement would not be reached until all issues were resolved. The Times of Israel also reported that there are some areas on which the two sides have not yet agreed.
Conflicts between Israel and Hezbollah continue. Israel carried out a large-scale airstrike on Beirut, Lebanon, on the 24th. Hezbollah also fired 255 rockets across Israel.
Reporter Choi Ji-seon aurinko@donga.com
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Considering the deep-seated mistrust and complex geopolitical landscape, what are the most significant obstacles to reaching a lasting and mutually acceptable peace agreement between Israel and Lebanon?
Here are some open-ended questions focusing on key topics from the article, designed to encourage discussion and varying viewpoints:
**Ceasefire Plan and Negotiations:**
* **Fragility of the Ceasefire:** Given the history of conflict between Israel and Hezbollah, what factors make this ceasefire agreement fragile, even if it is approved? What could potentially derail the process before it’s fully implemented?
* **Transition Period and its Challenges:** How effective will the 60-day transition period be in addressing the core issues between Israel and Hezbollah? What are the potential risks and opportunities during this period?
* **Role of International Actors:** What role should the U.S. and other international actors play in ensuring the success of this ceasefire agreement? How can they help foster trust and build lasting peace?
* **Future Border Negotiations:** Considering the complex history and ongoing disputes, what are the biggest obstacles to establishing a permanent border between Israel and Lebanon? What types of concessions might be necessary from both sides?
**Impact on the Region:**
* **Humanitarian Concerns:** What are the immediate and long-term humanitarian consequences of the recent conflict for civilians in both Lebanon and Israel? What measures are needed to address the needs of those affected?
* **Regional Stability:** How will this ceasefire agreement, if successful, impact regional stability? Could it serve as a model for resolving other conflicts in the Middle East?
* **International Response:** What message does this conflict and the proposed ceasefire send to the international community? What steps can be taken to prevent future escalations of violence?
**Public Opinion and Perspectives:**
* **Differing Narratives:** How do the perspectives of Israelis and Lebanese people differ regarding the conflict and the proposed ceasefire? What are the underlying reasons for these differences?
* **Role of Media:** How has media coverage influenced public opinion on the conflict in both Israel and Lebanon? Is there a risk of biased or sensationalized reporting?
**Remember:** The goal of these questions is to spark discussion, encourage critical thinking, and explore the complexities of the situation from multiple angles.
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