The corona virus spread at the beginning of the pandemic in Ischgl, now an antibody study from Austria is surprising. But there is also criticism.
Update from June 27, 10:27 a.m .: A study from Ischgl surprises with its result. According to this, 42.4 percent of the residents Ischgls Antibodies to the corona virus detected. 85 percent of those affected survived the disease unnoticed. One finding could be that the number of unreported cases of coronavirus infections is much higher than previously thought. Corona researcher Friedemann Weber, director of the Institute of Virology at the Justus Liebig University in Gießen, maintains this generalization of Ischgl study however fatal. That reports Focus.de.
In Ischgl, Austria, he said Coronavirus outbreak was a special one that cannot be easily transferred to other countries, the expert said. “The cases there primarily go back to one or two bars. There they drank, shouted, squatted close together, poorly ventilated. That has to be high Infektionszahlen led in the population. However, who really remained asymptomatic, i.e. without symptoms for the entire duration of the infection, or who was only presymptomatic, i.e. none at the time of the survey Symptoms is difficult to understand, ”criticizes Weber in Focus. The course of the disease and the often associated loss of taste would be perceived very differently by patients.
Coronavirus: Does the Ischgl study raise false hope? Several hundred thousand deaths would be expected in Germany
Weber also sees that because the test subjects were able to volunteer Ischgl study as not reliable. People who did not get tested despite the symptoms may not want to know who they were infected with at that time. It maintains 40 to 45 percent asymptomatic courses Coronavirus infections for more likely. “I don’t think that the total number of infected people is as high as the Ischgl study suggests.”
The Ischgl study suggests one mortality rate as a consequence of Corona of 0.25 percent – only around a tenth in comparison to the WHO calculation of more than two percent of those infected. But even those who accept the study as generalizable have a warning to Weber: The Death rate also depend on the health system. “Because even if, in relative terms, 85 percent did not show any symptoms – which I don’t believe – then 15 percent would still become symptomatic and the virus, precisely because it is so infectious, sooner or later infect everyone if we simply did it without any measures spread, ”said the virologist. “That would also mean 200,000 deaths and thus large corpses of corpses if the mortality rate was 0.25 percent and 80 million Germans died.”
Extreme numbers from Ischgl: Here the virus spread very quickly – important insight for Germany as well?
Update from June 26, 7.43 p.m .: This study was a big surprise. In 42.4 percent of the residents Ischgls were Antibodies to the corona virus detected. In addition, 85 percent of those infected had gone through the disease unnoticed. What the study means for the rest of the world is currently unclear. Can the results of the study be transferred to other places such as Germany? Science seems at odds on this point.
Professor Christian Hesse of the University of Stuttgart says to the image (Article behind payment barrier): “The study sends a very positive sign and I see no reason why the results are not transferable to Germany. Apparently, a larger percentage of people infected with corona than previously thought go through the infection with little to no symptoms. ”
In contrast, the epidemiologist thinks Peter Williet of the Innsbruck University Clinic for Neurology: “You can not assume that the situation in Ischgl is also representative of other regions or Germany. Important insights can be gained from this, but similar studies are also required in other regions. ”
The Ischgl study all in all seems to make an important contribution in the Corona research to perform, but not to over-interpret them. The question of whether one can conclude from work that we have the Corona danger have overestimated, the Virologe Jonas Schmidt-Chanasit to the paper clearly: “No, you can not derive that under any circumstances. We can see how dramatic the situation is in the United States, Brazil and India. ”
Ischgl: Corona spread more extreme than expected – antibody study from Austria surprised
First report from June 25: Ischgl / Austria – When the Virus already in Italy* spread, since nobody suspected that also Ischgl in Austria to one of the big ones Coronavirus-Hotspots would develop. A now published Antibody study proves that the virus apparently carried more people in it than initially thought.
Coronavirus in Ischgl: antibody study is surprising
According to the Medical University Innsbruck have 42.4 percent of those in a comprehensive study examined citizens antibody* on the Coronavirus* developed. That is the highest value published worldwide, said the director of the Institute of Virology, Dorothee von Laer, on Thursday in Innsbruck. Antibodies in blood are considered evidence of a go through infection*.
With its myriad After-Skibars wrong Ischgl already at the beginning of the pandemic as Focus in Europe. According to Austrian Authorities At times 40 percent of all cases in Germany were due to Ischgl. Many Germans too Tourists they are infected in Ischgl. A federal commission Tirol should now take a close look at the highly criticized crisis management.
Ischgl: Coronavirus apparently more widespread in Austria than expected
From now on positive antibody According to the study, only 15 percent of the people tested received the Diagnose* „Coronavirus“. “85 percent of those who went through the infection went through it unnoticed,” explains Dorothee von Laer on Thursday.
Despite the high antibody value, it is also in Ischgl no Herd immunity reached. They are decisive for the decline in cases quarantine and the social distance it was said.
Around 80 percent of Ischglers population participated in the study. 1473 subjects were examined between April 21 and 27.
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List of rubric lists: © dpa / Jakob Gruber
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