In the framework of the continuous escalation pursued by the “Free Patriotic Movement” against “Hezbollah”, which has become a defining sign in the relationship of the two parties, some circles began to suggest that returning to the pillars of the alliance has become almost impossible in light of the red lines that Representative Gebran Bassil crossed through his behavior. towards the “party”, which may establish a qualitative shift in the internal Lebanese politics.
However, on the sidelines of the tensions that afflict the understanding between the two parties and all that is said about the fall of the “Mar Mikhael Understanding”, at least in its current form, some raised a problem about the silence of the leaders of the “movement” regarding the events that took place in the south, as the “movement” did not direct any condemnation of the operation. The firing of missiles at Israel from Lebanon, bearing in mind that no one confirmed that this operation was carried out by “Hezbollah”, as the “movement” had a valuable opportunity and a constant argument to denounce it, but it preferred to refrain from making a statement despite the slipping away of some of its activists who launched political “missiles”. In the face of the party’s supporters on social media, although the “Free Patriot” is fully aware that, regardless of the identity of the perpetrator of the rocket launch from the south, the “party” is the one standing behind it in one way or another.
So, the “current” preferred to maintain the level of the alliance relationship with the “party” in terms of strategic issues, meaning that it was not intended to criticize the “party” for any matter related to the conflict with Israel, and this matter was interpreted by some observers as a message to the “party” that it No matter how the dispute develops or expands, it will not affect the strategic issues that the “current” has committed to in the past years, while, from its point of view, the “party” has not adhered to the internal files that it signed within the “Mar Mikhael Understanding.”
Will this “Aouni” position open a door for communication between the “party” and the “current”?
The answer to the question, according to political sources, seems very difficult, especially since the “movement” is still intransigent towards what “Hezbollah” is proposing at the internal level, especially in the presidential file and the nomination of the head of the “Marada Movement” Suleiman Franjieh, which means that the relationship between the two parties It will remain tense, but it will not step towards a trend that makes the “current” hostile to “Hezbollah” in terms of strategy.
The “Free Patriotic” position may be a desire to pave the way back to the bosom of the “Hezbollah”, fully aware that criticizing the latter’s military steps will close all the gates of passage in front of it, and the goal of the “movement” may also be further than that, according to the sources, which is to open relations with the party. The party’s allies in the region, specifically with Damascus, regardless of what its relationship with Hezbollah might reach at the domestic level. This also presupposes that none of the strategic constants associated with the conflict with Israel be crossed.
