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India faces 24.7% GDP loss by 2070 due to climate change: ADB report – Deccan Herald

India Faces 24.7% GDP Loss by 2070 Due to Climate Change: ADB Report

India is staring down a grim economic forecast, with an anticipated 24.7% loss in GDP by 2070 if climate change continues unchecked, as outlined in a recent report by the Asian Development Bank (ADB). This alarming statistic underscores the urgent need for proactive measures to combat climate change and its impending consequences on the Indian economy.

The Threat of Climate Change Unveiled

As the world grapples with the effects of climate change, India finds itself at the forefront of potential devastation. The ADB report highlights that if current trends persist, the nation could suffer staggering economic setbacks, amounting to almost one-fourth of its GDP. Such a transformation would not only impact national wealth but also the livelihoods of millions.

“This report serves as a wake-up call for India. The economic ramifications of climate change are massive and require immediate action from both the government and businesses,” stated Dr. Ravi Kumar, an environmental economist at the National Institute of Advanced Studies.

Who is Affected?

According to the ADB, the sectors most vulnerable to economic impacts include agriculture, health, and infrastructure. With a significant percentage of the population reliant on agriculture for their livelihood, any disruption can lead to food insecurity and widespread poverty.

  • Agriculture: The changes in climate patterns threaten crop yields and may exacerbate existing food shortages.
  • Health: Increased heatwaves and unpredictable weather events can strain health services, leading to rising healthcare costs.
  • Infrastructure: Growing vulnerability to natural disasters puts huge financial pressure on public and private sectors tasked with repairing and maintaining infrastructure.

What Factors Contribute?

The report outlines multiple factors contributing to India’s economic vulnerability:

  • Rising Temperatures: The average temperature in India is expected to rise by 4.0°C, significantly impacting agricultural outputs.
  • Increased Frequency of Natural Disasters: Floods, hurricanes, and droughts are projected to become more severe and frequent as global temperatures rise.
  • Population Growth: With India expected to become the most populous country by 2027, pressure on resources will escalate further.

When Will the Changes Be Felt?

According to the report, the effects of climate change will become increasingly palpable by 2030 but will reach critical levels by 2070. Policymakers and business leaders must understand that the time to act is now.

Where Are We Headed?

If these predictions hold true, India faces an uncertain future that threatens not just its economic landscape but also its societal fabric. The ADB’s report serves as a rallying cry for the nation to adopt innovative solutions.

“Investment in renewable energy and sustainable practices is not just an environmental imperative; it’s an economic necessity,” remarked environmental activist Ananya Sen.

A Call for Action

In light of these findings, the ADB urges the Indian government and businesses to prioritize sustainable growth strategies. This includes:

  • Transitioning to Renewable Energy: Diversifying energy sources to wind, solar, and hydropower to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions.
  • Enhancing Agricultural Resilience: Implementing sustainable farming practices and investing in research for climate-resilient crops.
  • Strengthening Infrastructure: Upgrading existing infrastructure to withstand extreme weather conditions and investing in disaster preparedness programs.

Understanding the Broader Implications

The ADB report is not merely an economic forecast but a broader discussion about a sustainable future. It compels stakeholders across various sectors to consider the far-reaching implications of inaction on climate change.

  • Industry Impact: Sectors like tourism and manufacturing may see reduced profit margins as climate-related events disrupt business operations.
  • Community Effect: Vulnerable communities, particularly in rural areas, will feel the brunt of the economic impacts, potentially leading to increased migration and social unrest.

Furthermore, India’s role in the global climate change dialogue is critical. With major economic power comes responsibility; proactive measures could position India as a leader in sustainable development.

Further Reading and Resources

To better understand the implications of climate change in India, explore our related articles on the transformative power of renewable energy in [this link]() and learn about the potential for innovation in [sustainable agriculture]().

For external resources, the [Asian Development Bank’s official report]() provides in-depth insights and recommendations for governments and industries alike.

Engage with Us

What are your thoughts on ADB’s findings? How can India strategically position itself to combat these forecasts? We invite you to engage in the discussion by sharing your thoughts in the comments section below. Feel free to share this article with your network to raise awareness on the critical issue of climate change and its impacts on India’s economy.

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The cost of hedging the U.S. dollar reached its highest level since 2022 due to election risks; ① The price of hedging U.S. dollar fluctuations surged to the highest level in nearly two years as traders prepared for the risk of sharp market swings after next week’s presidential election. One-week implied volatility in the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose on Wednesday to its highest level since December 2022, when recession fears briefly gripped financial markets. This shows that traders are preparing for sharp fluctuations in the yuan against major currencies such as the euro, Japanese yen, yuan and Mexican peso, pushing up the cost of options to protect against such fluctuations; ② Skylar, currency strategist at Barclays in New York “The election is a binary event for FX markets, so there is an increased need for election FX hedging,” said Montgomery Cornyn. Emerging market currencies including the peso, yuan and South Korean won “are seen as having a negative impact on the U.S. election.” “The most sensitive currency”; ③ As the economy continues to show surprising strength, bond yields have risen sharply, and the U.S. dollar index has risen more than 3% so far in October, on track for its best month since September 2022. On Wednesday, the Bloomberg Dollar Index fell for the first time in four sessions in month-end trading, but remained close to its highest level since July. Derivatives traders are now bullish on the currency and are pledging to keep U.S. yields higher than elsewhere as expectations of a sharp rate cut from the Federal Reserve have eased. The election may also contribute if doubts about the election results drive investors into safe havens, or if a Trump victory could exacerbate inflationary pressures through tax cuts and high tariffs on major trading partners; ④ Tax cuts will The economy generates more stimulus and worsens the deficit, making the bet on higher yields the so-called Trump trade. At the same time, tariffs could restrict imports and thus reduce U.S. demand for overseas currencies, further supporting the dollar. ⑤ Steve Englander, head of global G10 foreign exchange research and North American macro strategy at Standard Chartered Bank, wrote: “We see some risk that the market is not only pricing in a Trump victory prematurely; Implied volatility on the U.S. dollar index among its major peers surged on Wednesday. Volatility in the euro and pound is expected to reach levels not seen since the banking crisis in March 2023 over the next seven days. Such volatility in developed markets is expected to subside in the weeks following the vote, while in contrast, market volatility in the peso and yuan is expected to continue into next month. Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex LLC, said that for the U.S. dollar, market movements “point to the uncertainty surrounding the U.S. election.” “The U.S. dollar has reached levels not seen in months, which may help support broader foreign exchange fluctuations” _Foreign Exchange Dynamic Report_Huitong Finance www.fx678.com

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