National polls seemed to announce a tidal wave in favor of Joe Biden, credited with eight points ahead of a Donald Trump weakened by its erratic management of the epidemic of Covid-19, fatal for more than 230,000 Americans. This electoral tsunami did not take place in the presidential, legislative or senatorial elections. There is indeed a big blue wave: Democrat Joe Biden collects more than 70 million votes, a historic record, and he exceeds the threshold of 50% of the vote, which no candidate had reached four years ago.
But this blue wave collided with another unexpected wave, red and republican this one. The real surprise comes from Donald Trump, who does better than resist. The outgoing president exceeds 66.5 million votes (48.2% of the vote), or at least 3.5 million voters more than he had in 2016, even though his popularity has still remained been negative!
There remained, this Wednesday, November 4, 2020 in the evening, several million ballots to be counted and the Americans did not yet know who won the White House, the results remaining partial and the gaps small in several key states.
Democrat Biden close to goal
Biden, 77, seemed the most likely on Wednesday night to reach a majority of 270 voters out of the 538 in the college that elects the US president. The Democrat won in Washington, the capital and in twenty-two states including Arizona, torn from the Republicans. This guarantees him 238 major voters.
The former vice-president leads the dance, by little, in three others (Nevada, Wisconsin and Michigan), where the ballot boxes still to be opened are in democratic fiefdoms. Unless surprised, these three states would bring him exactly the thirty-two missing voters.
For his part, Trump won in twenty-four states, saving strategic Florida, which assures him 213 voters. Defying the polls, he is also leading in North Carolina, Georgia and Pennsylvania, but his lead is shrinking as the ballots arrived by mail, rather Democrats, are counted. These continue to ship to North Carolina and Pennsylvania and will be valid until November 6. The final result will therefore not be known until Friday.
In several states, deviations of less than one point trigger vote recounts. Trump’s campaign manager claimed it this Wednesday night for Wisconsin.
But populist Trump screams louder
Late Tuesday night, as disappointing first results in Florida and Pennsylvania cast a chill among Democratic activists, Joe Biden displayed his confidence: “We believe we are on the right track to win”, he said from his election headquarters in Philadelphia.
For his part, a Donald Trump perked up by his scores, higher than expected, and his victories in Ohio and Texas declared himself the winner: “Frankly, we won this election”, he claimed. He then accused the Democrats of seeking to “Want” the election and threatened to seize the ” Supreme Court “.
These declarations seemed above all a signal to his relays in the States, so that they contest the results and multiply the remedies, and a provocation intended to sow confusion, if not chaos in the streets.
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