Prague According to Ladislav Duk, director of the state of health information and statistics (ZIS), there is a high risk of exponential en coid-19 in the Czech Republic. The reproduction number R, is the number of other people, which infect one positive tested is 1.6. According to him, the epidemic from the 1st z gained momentum, there are no outbreaks at the outbreak.
According to Duke, about 44,000 new cases will be considered for the MSC. According to me, optimistic and 70 000.
IV: Veils will be required in tdch. At the end of me bt a 70 thousand new nakaench, ekl f ZIS Duek |
The first sign of gluing will be changed according to the positive catches on the number of tests, said Duek. According to him, hand washing and hand spacing can reduce the virus by half. If people-to-people contacts were reduced, without the conclusion of rounds and economic measures, it would be possible to slow down the number of orders by another 25 percent.
We have to break the wave of new positives tested and let the population pass it. When we break it in time, we will protect the health care system from full capacity and the economy from significant restrictions, Duek added.
From the 1st to the 14th z, 16,400 people became infected, 4,000 spilled. 602, 145 of them were hospitalized and 57 died. Seniors were positive in 1567, in hospitals 375, in the open state 108 and there were 54 of them.
The regions called on the government and resumed the activities of the Middle Ages. There were ten governors for the proposal |
According to Duke, three percent of those who test positive need hospitalization, and a quarter of them are in good condition. In the large number of diagnoses diagnosed, even a small percentage means a problem in the future, Duek said. According to nakaench senior, it is below five percent and 70 and 80 percent of people have no or only mild symptoms.
According to Duke, it takes about seven and ten days since the diagnosis, no HV symptoms develop. He gave a week and two lasts, not showing up on sweat hospitalizac. If 100,000 tested positive, according to Duke, about 4,000 people would need to be hospitalized and a quarter would be called a complication. We’re going to need 2,000 hunts-days. Now the free capacity is no more than double, he added.
According to Vladimír ernho, who is in charge of the capacity of hospitals, there are 413 people in hospital, 71 in intensive care units, 46 people need pulmonary ventilation and two people in addition. The patient with covid-19 makes up 2.4 percent of the occupancy of intensive units.
According to Dukem’s virtual epidemiological model presented, there could be no more than 200,000 new people in June, 1.2 million in November and 2.1 million in December. By the end of the year, 3.6 million people, more than aunt, would have experienced the disease. According to Duke, there will be 68,000 nakaench, 89,000 in June, but only 21,000 in November and 5,000 in December. 000 people.
According to the number of new cases for the month, the KIC predicts the number of hospitalizations and the course of events. Up to 30,000 mn sweat with 1,200 people in hospitals and 240 cases, up to 80,000 with 3,200 hospitalizations and 640 cases, up to 120,000 with 4,800 and 960 cases.
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