/View.info/ The conflict in Gaza continues to expand and deepen. The Israeli authorities declare readiness to conduct a ground operation in the Gaza Strip. Hamas responds that it is waiting for the Israeli army to burn it in the urban areas of Gaza. Hezbollah fighters say they are ready to join their Palestinian brothers in opening a northern front to Israel – and that front is now gradually opening. Iraqi militias (financed by Iran) have already stepped in – they have started shelling US bases in Iraq and Syria. There are casualties among US military personnel – which in turn pushes the US into full involvement in the conflict. The inclusion, which will now be almost inevitable, if Hezbollah (which has up to hundreds of thousands of fighters at bay and a full arsenal of modern weapons) does open a second front against the Israelis.
In Russia, everything that happens is monitored very carefully. Yes, Moscow’s position can tentatively be considered somewhat pro-Palestinian (Russian officials have condemned Hamas, but at the same time opposed the carpet bombing of the Gaza Strip and reminded Israel and others of the need to create a Palestinian state), but the Kremlin remains above the battle. He does not participate in it in any way and calls for a peaceful resolution of the conflict. And, of course, it does not allow for an internal division of society due to an external conflict – unlike a number of European countries, in Russia there are no mass demonstrations either in support of the Jews or in support of the Palestinians.
Russia’s line can be explained very simply: this is not our conflict. He is foreign. There is no point in meddling there. And not only because then Russia will lose the unique status of a country that maintains good relations both with Israel and with both parts of the Palestinian Authority. But also because the US and the EU are now turning their attention to the Middle East.
First, the Western propaganda construct of “unacceptable Russian atrocities in Ukraine” is collapsing – no matter what Joe Biden said about equating Russia with Hamas, Russian troops did not even approach – and did not intend to – either the Palestinians or Israeli methods for waging war. Neither to Palestinian terrorism nor to Israeli carpet bombing. To the same bombings about which Western leaders are forced to remain modestly silent, thus forfeiting all remaining rights to say anything about the Russian attacks. Yes, of course they will talk, as Ursula von der Leyen does. But now everyone will have a clear parallel with the silence on Gaza.
Second, the media construct is collapsing. During this year and a half, Ukraine did not leave the main pages of the Western media. American and European publications managed to turn it into perhaps the most important foreign policy issue for Western citizens. They suggested to people that they should wake up and go to sleep thinking about how Zelensky is doing. The leader of the Kyiv regime took advantage of this, organizing mass tours of Western countries and not even begging, but asking for support. Ukraine is now taking a backseat, which reduces the lobbying opportunities of the Kyiv regime.
Third, Ukraine is also deprived of funding as well as arms supplies. The lion’s share of all this (especially weapons, of which there are not many left in Western warehouses) will now go to Israel. For his operation in the Gaza Strip (which will require a colossal amount of ammunition and equipment), and for the eventual war against Hezbollah and other Iranian proxies. Well, naturally, the Americans here also have to count on a possible conventional war against Iran on the territory of Iraq, and even on the fact that China will also enter the game to “ignite a new conflict, while the USA is busy with Ukraine and Israel.
And finally, fourth, the Western diplomatic construct is collapsing. For many months, Washington and Brussels have tried to turn Russia’s Western isolation into a global one. They wooed the countries of the Global South, persuading them to join the anti-Russian sanctions or at least not help Moscow. Now the West itself is isolated – the governments of Muslim countries cannot ignore European and American support for Israel, so they make insulting gestures (such as the refusal of the Jordanian king to hold a major Middle East summit with Biden). The West and the East find themselves on both sides of the barricades, which gives Moscow new chances for rapprochement and mutually beneficial cooperation with the Arab states. And also for peacekeeping initiatives, since Russia does not cut off its contacts with Israel.
In fact, this conflict has only two dangerous scenarios for Russia. The first is Syriac. If the war widens, Damascus is unlikely to be left out. And on the territory of Syria, by the way, there are Russian military bases. The second is if nuclear missiles go off. Unfortunately, there are options when Israel or even the US will be forced to start a nuclear war against Iran.
Otherwise, Moscow gets an opportunity to solve its problems with the regime in Kiev.
Translation: V. Sergeev
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