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How Indonesia is going its own way on Beijing, Brics and the South China Sea

Indonesia Strikes Balance Between Economic Ambitions and Maritime Security in Recent Diplomatic Engagements

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In a striking demonstration of its diplomatic balancing act, Indonesia has underscored its commitment to pursuing both strategic interests and economic growth over the past week. Indonesian Foreign Minister Retno Marsudi’s engagement in Kazan, Russia, to promote Jakarta’s bid for full membership in the BRICS bloc coincided with heightened tensions in the South China Sea, where Indonesian patrol ships confronted Chinese coastguard vessels, emphasizing the delicate interplay of diplomacy and security in contemporary Indonesia.

While Minister Marsudi was advocating Indonesia’s entry into BRICS—a group of emerging economies including Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, as well as Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, and the United Arab Emirates—Indonesian naval forces were simultaneously active in disputed maritime regions. These waters, particularly around the oil-rich Natuna Islands located off the coast of Borneo, have become a contentious point due to China’s expansive claims that encroach upon Indonesia’s exclusive economic zones.

In late September, Indonesia’s coastguard reported expelling Chinese vessels that allegedly disrupted its oil and gas exploration efforts for the third time in a single week, further highlighting the escalating maritime assertiveness from both sides. While the Chinese foreign ministry maintained that these patrol activities were within China’s sovereign rights, Indonesia has continued to assert its dominance and sovereignty over the North Natuna Sea.

Adding to these dynamics, Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto is set to embark on a multi-stop diplomatic mission to Beijing later this month, where he will seek to bolster Jakarta’s international standing while navigating the complex landscape of bilateral relations. Analysts suggest that both nations may compartmentalize various aspects of their relationship—balancing political tensions with continued economic collaboration.

Dylan Loh, an assistant professor at Nanyang Technological University, emphasized the importance of BRICS membership to Indonesia, stating, “This fits into Indonesia’s economic growth strategy, focusing on poverty alleviation and attracting investments and technology transfers.” He further noted that Indonesia is positioning itself as a leader within the Global South, with BRICS serving as a critical platform for crafting its “free and active” foreign policy.

The duality of these engagements has led experts like Shafiah Muhibat, Deputy Executive Director of the Centre for Strategic and International Studies Indonesia, to assert that Indonesia has effectively delineated its political security relations from economic interactions. “Whatever happens in our political security relations should not negatively impact our economic relations,” she remarked.

Concurrently, Yohanes Sulaiman, an associate professor at Universitas Jenderal Achmad Yani, highlighted the cautious approach of Indonesian authorities in handling tensions in the Natuna region. He speculated that President Subianto, in projecting a strong national defense posture, may encourage naval and coastguard actions to set precedents in asserting territorial claims.

Scholars believe that the Indonesian government’s approach reflects a long-standing strategy that previous leaders, including Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono and Joko Widodo, employed—one that seeks to avoid direct confrontations while promoting economic development.

The interest in expanding BRICS membership aligns not only with Indonesia’s aspirations for increased stature in global affairs but also with the bloc’s collective interests as it aims to widen its influence amid Western geopolitical pressures. As Wang Yiwei, Director of the Institute of International Affairs at Renmin University, noted, broader membership can enhance BRICS’ representation in Southeast Asia, where nations have historically sought to maintain neutrality.

As Indonesia continues to navigate these multifaceted challenges, both its diplomatic and maritime endeavors will play crucial roles in shaping its future as a key player in regional and global geopolitics.

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