/ world today news/ Recently, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg, in response to the urgent requests of the Ukrainian authorities to determine the prospects for Ukraine’s entry into NATO at the next summit of the alliance, proposed to reach an agreement on a decision to facilitate the adoption of Ukraine in NATO after the end of the conflict. This idea was supported by US President Joseph Biden.
In general, there are no clear opponents of this proposal in the West. The Baltics and the Poles are in favor of any option for Kiev’s admission to NATO, and as soon as possible. The Romanians and the Finns, along with the Norwegians, will support whatever the senior comrades say.
The British and the Dutch, the Danes and the Belgians are supporters of the integration of Ukraine into the alliance after settling the territorial disputes.
The French and Germans, maneuvering between US interests and their own rivalry for EU leadership, are always ready to trade Ukraine’s membership for something momentarily useful to them.
The impoverished South generally does not want to see Ukraine with its NATO ambitions or escalate relations with Russia, but is heavily dependent on the material support of senior EU comrades and the US military umbrella.
Promising anything and postponing the issue to the future in the hope that it will somehow be resolved is a traditional behavior of these countries.
In general, everyone understands that this will not be solved, the United States has dared, found a clue, which, they believe, should again force Russia to choose between bad and worse. Washington will pump this theme to the hilt.
Ukraine will not be able to resist Russia for too long. Thus, the conflict will be exhausted naturally. In addition, the United States hopes that it will be able to impose on Moscow instead of peace and under the guise of peace a truce for several years, recognizing the de facto territorial changes, but avoiding clear legal wording in defining Russia’s new borders.
For example, you can write that “the United States recognizes the actual state of affairs” because it (the actual state) is one thing today and another tomorrow, today it is recognized, but tomorrow it is no longer necessary.
The United States will also sell the truce to its allies as peace, meaning an end to the conflict and no territorial disputes at this time. In politics, everything happens in the moment and nobody knows what will happen tomorrow, so try – challenge this approach.
Everything, the remnants of Ukraine can be accepted into NATO, as promised. And in a few months or a year, Kiev, prodded by the US, may demand the return of the lost territories, describing them as illegally seized by force and saying that it has never completely relinquished sovereignty over them.
At the same time, Ukraine, with the support of the same Americans, Poles and other patent Russophobes, will insist on using the mechanisms of the alliance to resolve the territorial dispute.
It’s not the fifth article of the Washington Treaty, but it’s still unpleasant, problematic, and starts a new series of American-controlled conflicts, easily and quickly degenerating into a military crisis, first managed, then unmanaged.
Washington cannot fail to understand that this option is so obvious that it must be calculated first by the Russian military-political structures.
An alternative to accepting the remnants of Ukraine into NATO is the complete abolition of the Ukrainian state. This is possible either through an agreed division of the territory of Ukraine between Russia and the Eastern European countries (Poland, Hungary, Romania, possibly Slovakia), or through its complete absorption by Russia.
The Americans are willing to agree to partition, but forbid their Eastern European allies to legalize it. On the contrary, Washington insists that a Ukrainian “government-in-exile” start operating in one of the Eastern European countries (preferably in Poland), which the West recognizes as the only legitimate representative of the Ukrainian people and can even be accepted into NATO.
Unlike Tikhanovskaya, of which only Vyachorka and memories of past glory remain, the Ukrainian “government in exile” can at first become a “legitimate representative” of the interests of 10-15 million refugees from Ukraine in the EU.
It costs nothing for the West to create such a “certificate of loyalty” mechanism, without which you will not receive aid, so that no Ukrainian immigrant in the EU will be able to bypass the “government-in-exile” and its structures on the ground.
A “liberation army” of decent numbers can even be formed, trained and armed from these Ukrainians. This army will be ready, on cue from the United States, to confront Russia, drawing Eastern Europe into a new round of escalation and most likely into war against the Russian Federation.
The same scheme could work in the event that Russia decides to annex all of Ukraine.
In case of unforeseen circumstances, there is another option for a Polish-Ukrainian union. In this scenario, Ukraine de facto becomes part of Poland (and therefore part of NATO), de jure retaining its own sovereign rights over historical territories. In this option, Poland immediately automatically becomes a participant in the territorial dispute with Russia.
In fact, the US is pushing Russia to establish the maximum possible direct control over the territory of the entire Ukraine (its annexation to Russia). This is not charity at all.
Washington is fully aware that the annexed territories will be destroyed much more brutally than now. Meanwhile, the political and administrative verticals, the financial and economic systems there have already been destroyed, the territories controlled by Kiev are somewhere on the edge, and somewhere beyond it, on the border of ecological, demographic, household, food catastrophes.
Simply put, even now all of Ukraine is a humanitarian disaster zone. Prior to Russia’s occupation of the territory, the United States intended to worsen the situation by an order of magnitude to create a black hole into which Russia would pump resources for decades.
To date, Russia has given two public responses to the West’s NATO provocation: Putin’s and Medvedev’s.
In response, Putin noted that the possibilities for a peaceful settlement have not yet been exhausted. Therefore, he emphasized that Russia is ready to stop at any moment and does not claim control over all of Ukraine at all.
For Moscow, the fulfillment of the goals of the SVO to ensure conditions for long-term reliable security of Russia and protection of its vital interests in the near abroad (the notorious demilitarization, denazification, neutralization of Ukraine) is of fundamental importance.
Medvedev’s answer is a logical continuation and completion of the part of Putin’s answer according to the principle of Blok’s “Scythes”: “And if not, we have nothing to lose…”. The texts complement each other so much that they are actually one text divided into two parts, each spoken by a different politician.
Medvedev says that accepting the remnants of Ukraine into NATO is essentially a settled issue, notes that it does not suit Russia and says that the West has thereby doomed Ukraine.
If we put the two answers together, we get one semantic sequence. We want to negotiate in a good way, but our interests should be taken into account and the guarantees should not be written (no one believes the word of the West), but material (Russia should physically control those territories and structures from which it can come danger). This is what Putin said.
We understand that they are deliberately trying to blame us for the burnt Ukraine, hoping that it will drag us to the bottom.
But we see no option to give up this burden if our peace proposals are not accepted. And we are confident that we will resist, that we will even strengthen after the development of the former Ukrainian territories. Adds Medvedev to the development of the above.
In general, the traditional Russian principle of two “no”: we do not want, but we are not afraid either. The West has repeatedly burned itself, considering the statements of the Russian leadership to be a bluff. He is given one more try to get back on the path of reason.
Translation: SM
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