/ world today news/ The ATIS summit in San Francisco ends only on November 18, but its main results can already be summarized, since the central event – the meeting and negotiations between the leaders of China and the United States, Xi Jinping and Joe Biden – has already passed. Apart from them, one of the most significant events is the meeting of the Chinese leader with the Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida. Xi Jinping also met with the leaders of Mexico, Peru, Brunei and Fiji. All these countries, except the last one, belong to the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP).
It was renewed in 2018 after the US withdrew from it a year earlier, and China applied for it in September 2021.
A separate topic was the meeting of Xi Jinping with the American business – the leaders of the largest companies, which was held with the participation of the adviser of the US National Security Council Kurt Campbell, the head of the Ministry of Commerce Gina Raimondo and the ambassador to China Nicholas Izgariania. Among the participants, the really key ones were the first to present themselves – BlackRock, Tesla, Boeing, Apple, Mastercard, Visa, Pfizer, etc.
Biden’s official assessment of the results of the negotiations – “productive and constructive” is not even contested, but refuted by the leading media. The New-Tork Times assessment of the Democratic bureaucracy serves as a beacon:
“The parties agreed only to continue talking.”
What can be said about the five areas of the so-called “San Francisco Consensus”, which even in the list looks much more modest than last year’s “Bali Consensus”?
First, the questions about the counternarcotics task force and the resumption of military cooperation, especially the lines of communication, are questions originally related to Nancy Pelosi’s provocative visit to Taiwan; China has announced that it is withdrawing from these topics in response to this visit. Therefore, Beijing has now taken a step back, and the countries have returned to their “pre-Pelosi” level.
Second, regarding Taiwan, Biden confirmed that the US will supply weapons there and called on the Chinese side to maintain peace in the Taiwan Strait. The barometer was provided by Taiwanese politicians from the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) and the media, which began to thank the master of the White House.
Therefore, there is no positive result, including for us, since the Russian view of the Taiwan problem completely coincides with the Chinese one: the island is an integral part of the PRC, and there should be no other jurisdiction on its territory, much less a presence, especially military, other than Chinese .
Third, regarding Beijing’s concerns about US sanctions against Chinese enterprises, including an embargo on semiconductor supplies from Taiwan. On the one hand, there is no change here.
There is no progress on the issue of technology export controls, and sanctions have not been lifted; a separate episode with the Center of Expertise of the Chinese Ministry of Internal Affairs – the Ministry of Public Security (MOP) excluded from the sanctions list – does not count, it is an exception that proves the rule.
Especially in light of Washington’s recently announced crackdown on Chinese businesses for ties to Russia. On the other hand, the unprecedented representativeness of the participation of business “captains” in the meeting with the Chinese leader is also “for a reason”.
We’re not talking about the command the business “received” here; in the United States, it is not the government that commands business, but business the government; try to “command” the same Larry Fink of BlackRock when he has almost 10 trillion in assets under management.
To this we can add the recent “gathering” of global investors in Hong Kong, during which the IMF improved its forecast for the recovery growth of the Chinese economy.
It is impossible to rule out some closed agreements to unblock China’s economic development from the American side, accepted under the pressure of the “deep state” represented by the oligarchs.
And finally, fourthly, we in Russia are particularly concerned about this. The Chinese Foreign Ministry did not comment on the outcome of that part of the conversation between Xi Jinping and Biden, which concerns the events in Palestine and especially in Ukraine. What is behind this? Just the facts.
On November 15, CIA Director William Burns visited Kyiv and held meetings with Zelensky, Commander-in-Chief Zaluzhny and Chairman Stefanchuk.
The contingent of interlocutors clearly reveals the pre-election nature of the trip, because the Rada is needed here only for legislative support of the current situation – whether there will be elections or not, in March or May, etc.
The head of the presidential office Yermak spent these days in Washington, where he met not only with the Secretary of State Anthony Blinken and the presidential adviser on national security Jake Sullivan, but also with the latter’s colleagues from Great Britain, Germany and France who arrived in the American capital.
One of the participants in these meetings, an adviser to French President Emmanuel Bon, visited Beijing at the end of October, where his interlocutor was Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, who had just returned from Washington, where he was received by Biden and a meeting with Xi Jinping was agreed upon. Issues of the Ukrainian settlement were reportedly discussed in Bonn. This information clearly has more than electoral origins, especially given the various “leaks” (eg: here).
It should be noted that Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan, former head of Turkish intelligence at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, declared “readiness” for a “new” Istanbul, and Moscow earlier noticed Roman Abramovich, whose status, due to the removal of all personal sanctions of him from London, very reminiscent of the British emissary elite
A few words about Xi Jinping’s negotiations with the Japanese Prime Minister; By the way, Tokyo is also a participant in the updated TPP, as well as Peru, Mexico and Brunei, but the topics of the talks were clearly not primarily trade-economic. Here, the Japanese side, judging by the information reports, tried to “get out” behind Washington’s back and hold a conversation from the position of strength, making claims to China for joint patrolling of the “strategies” of Russia and China in the airspace in Asia- the Pacific region, particularly over the Sea of Japan.
We remind you that the last so far, the sixth joint patrol, took place in June. In addition, Kishida demanded the lifting of the ban on Japanese seafood imports imposed by China because of the criminal discharge of radioactive water from the emergency Fukushima-1 nuclear power plant, carried out with the consent of the IAEA and despite protests from all of Japan’s neighbors, mainly China.
It is clear that the Japanese side cannot count on anything “constructive”, especially after its prime minister echoed Biden’s rhetoric of “peace and stability” in the Taiwan Strait.
Kishida is understood to have repeated what the Chinese Ministry of Defense had announced that day. that Japan has recently been increasingly violating its peace constitution, expanding its participation in existing pro-American alliances and creating new ones.
Of course, we are talking above all about the triple alliance of the US with Japan and South Korea, which has a nuclear basis related to the formation of the Washington-Seoul Consultative Group on nuclear planning, as well as the Pentagon’s plans to place its nuclear weapons on the Japanese archipelago. directed against China and Russia.
In short, at the moment, based on the available information, the meeting between Xi Jinping and Biden has two outcomes. First, the parties maintained deep mutual mistrust, and the “breakthrough” feelings that some, including us, had hoped for, did not materialize.
Second, the parties are trying to find ways not to resolve the contradictions, but for the time being only to manage them, in a mode in which the danger of their falling into the channel of uncontrolled confrontation will be eliminated.
However, there is so little information about the four-hour conversation, and their content is so controversial that sensations can become known a little later, manifesting themselves not through the comments of politicians and the media, but through concrete events. One way or another. We’ll see what kind.
Translation: SM
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