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PHOTO: Reuters
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We are currently second in Europe in terms of deaths, but they are still 1/3 less than the previous peak
The fourth COVID wave will be the deadliest, predicted the former director of “Pirogov” Prof. Asen Baltov on Facebook. According to the Minister of Health Stoycho Katsarov, however, there are the least deaths in this wave.
“Mortality in the current wave is 1/3 lower than in the past and this is due to the 20 percent vaccinated,” the minister said.
There is a discrepancy between the former head of Pirogov and the Minister of Health not only in terms of mortality. For Prof. Baltov, as well as for medical experts, the current wave is the fourth.
From the Ministry of Health the number
only three
COVID waves
“So far there have been two big pandemic waves,” said Health Minister Adviser Prof. Mira Kozhuharova. According to her, the first real wave began in early October 2020. The second was from February to May this year. And the third, the current one, started in August.
Prof. Kozhuharova presented data according to which the number of people who died in the first nine weeks of the current wave was the lowest, namely 3,364 people. These are 1115 fewer deaths than the second and 1371 less than the first.
According to Baltov, the figures are mixed and alarming – 3,766 deaths since July 12, and the infection continues to rage. According to his calculations, the number of deaths so far reaches 50% of the total number of deaths in the unknown of the second (8119 people) and 40% of the spring third wave (9224 people).
“The number of positive cases on a daily basis is constantly growing, the number of beds in medical institutions is getting smaller, the staff is exhausted,” wrote Prof. Baltov. He accused the caretaker government of doing poorly with vaccination, measures and the fight against the virus.
For Baltov, the waves are four – the first of 6 and a half months, the second of four months, the third of 5 and a half months and the last of July 12 so far (3 months). In these periods the mortality from coronavirus in Bulgaria was different.
The first wave in the spring of 2020, which hit Western Europe hard, passed in our country almost without casualties. The second, for the three months from October 20, 2020 to January 20, 2021, killed 7,632 people. The third in the three months from February 20 to May 20 this year took 7,608 lives. The current wave for the two months from August 12 to October 12 has 3214 victims.
The average mortality rate in Bulgaria at the moment is 84 people per day, which is a 2% decrease compared to the previous week. This puts us in second place in Europe after Romania, which has a 25% higher mortality rate per capita.
The new patients in our country are on average 2306 per day (18% growth per week) and we are in 11th place in Europe.
Hospitals have enough free beds, said Deputy. Minister of Health Alexander Zlatanov. He commented that if necessary, more beds would be opened.
Now
kovid beds
in hospitals
are 7268
as 760 are intense. The occupied beds so far are 5646, of which 485 are intensive and 5161 are for non-intensive treatment, Zlatanov presented data. The open beds in Sofia are 1569.
Bulgaria is not so bad in terms of morbidity, says Prof. Iva Hristova, director of the National Center for Infectious and Parasitic Diseases. According to her, the number of infected people in Serbia and Romania is many times higher and the situation is much worse.
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