Photo: JÖRGEN JARNBERGER/BILDBYRÅN.
Several hot matches from the Allsvenskan begin Sunday’s Europe tips. El Västico and Hammarby – Kalmar are fighters that I will follow closely before the Superettan and Eliteserien take over the baton. In the Norwegian fine room, I try to bring down a couple of kites before the Veikkausliiga takes us to the finish line. With a little fluency, it should be possible to carve out a solid dividend on this coupon. Join us for a share!
The derby! – 1. Elfsborg – IFK Gothenburg
I expect Blåvitt in El Västico (to the Top tip)
A couple of weeks ago I ruled Elfsborg as the winner of the Allsvenskan and after the two rounds since the break, I have not wavered in my belief. Jimmy Thelin’s men feel like a ready-made team and if there is ever a time the Borås will repeat the feat from 2012, it is now. Only one loss in 14 rounds is very stable numbers and it is only necessary to state that Thelin hit exactly right in the rear ranks.
Valdimarsson will not remain at Borås Arena for many more seasons, and in front of him the Icelandic goalkeeper has perhaps the series’ most athletic middle lock in the form of Holmén and Lagerbielke. The trio’s physicality allows the hosts to do what they do best in the majority of matches. Namely to press the opponents high. Preferably as close to the offensive penalty area as possible.
Qasem not infrequently steps forward as the spearhead of Elfsborg’s press and the youngster’s ability to lure the opponents into difficult areas is not a little reminiscent of a certain Martin Ödegaard in Arsenal. Qasem is also not slow to get into the box once the Boras have won the ball and I believe it is only a matter of time before it comes off for him in the scoring record. Something for Allsvenskan Fantasy fans to keep an eye on.
Okkels is another player who is showing hot form at the moment, but the more worrying thing is that Römer will leave the hosts in just over two weeks. The Dane is the hub of Jimmy Thelin’s team building and without him there is a risk that the minimum level will drop unless the new acquisition Thomassen steps in and delivers immediately. When IFK Göteborg is on the other side, Elfsborg will probably have to take the baton, something they are not as confident with as the previously mentioned pressing game. If Blåvitt manages to get behind the hosts’ back line, there are spaces to exploit and I don’t want to count the guests out completely.
Especially not when one noses at over 80 percent. The Angels’ performance in the jumbo final against Varberg (1-2) was anything but beautiful, but here Askou’s crew should be able to enjoy the game-like existence. I of course agree that Elfsborg will be considered favourites, but I am not prepared to buy one at any percentage. Arguments exist for the right-hand side (X2) and I am happy to make room for all characters in the hope of a bang.
Notable interruptions
Emil Salomonsson, IFK Gothenburg (shoulder injury)
Sebastian Ohlsson, IFK Gothenburg (foot injury)
Hussein Carneil, IFK Gothenburg (unknown)
Not sure about games
Suleiman Abdullahi, IFK Gothenburg (right)
The sequel! – 2. Hammarby – Kalmar
Kalmar’s dark trend continues (to Toptipset)
Kalmar went into the break with ten recorded points in the final four games of the spring. Henrik Jensen could thus relax with pork rinds instead of homework in the hammock, but looking at the Dane and his men’s underlying statistics, Kalmar had the margins on their side. In fact, an incredibly large portion of margins. According to Expected Points – expected number of points recorded – the guests should rather be in the bottom half than near the top battle.
Only Värnamo and Varberg came up in the spring with a worse xG value than KFF, who need to review the offensive structure if they intend to remain in the top half. There are absolutely positive tendencies in the game of the Smålands, but before these sit for a longer period, I will not be surprised if the loss of points continues to come. After the break, the wind has turned.
1-1 against Mjällby was a score that Kalmar should be grateful for and in the last round Jensen and company were noted for the biggest loss of the season so far. 0-4 in the back against Elfsborg stung, although it must be said that Friedrich’s expulsion made the uphill climb impossible. The brass, who I consider to be the guests’ most important players, is thus suspended when the trip goes to the capital and it will undoubtedly affect KFF negatively.
It would be untrue if I claimed that Hammarby rose the market last spring, but after the 2-1 triumph against Sirius, Cifuentes and the others have a much-needed tailwind at their backs. Erabi was responsible for one of the goals and together with the always useful Besara, the striker can cause problems for Kalmar as well. There is also plenty of savings capital in, among others, Djukanovic and Madjed.
Bajen can do more than what they have shown so far and considering these teams’ initial trends after the break, I lean strongly to the left at Tele2 Arena. The crowd always gets behind the green and whites, and should Hammarby break the deadlock early, there is every chance of keeping Kalmar in a tricky fox-scissors. If the number one stays around 55 percent, it’s a spike that I like.
Notable interruptions
Abdelrahman Boudah, Hammarby (muskelskada)
Ricardo Friedrich, Kalmar (suspended)
Carl Gustafsson, Kalmar (head injury)
Not sure about games
Loret Sadiku, Hammarby (muscle injury)
August Mikkelsen, Hammarby (unknown)
The nail! – 3. Mjällby – Norrköping
Mjällby are solid on Strandvallen (to the Top tip)
Mjällby does not have much left for Malmö FF and the 2-1 victory at Eleda Stadion was, is and remains the season’s undoubtedly biggest highlight. Anders Torstensson let his adepts patiently wait out MFF’s attacks, whereupon the yellow and black’s transition play and fixed situations caused all sorts of problems for most of the champions. Fenger and Löfquist were a nail in light blue eyes as long as they could and I am above all impressed by the latter’s renaissance.
After the break, “The Onion” is listed for 1+2 and I won’t be surprised if it continues to rack up personal points going forward. To further spice up the offensive, Mjällby has brought back Jacob Bergström from Djurgården. The striker’s power and not uneven deep play is worth its weight in gold for MAIF since Alexander Johansson was forced to rehab due to a knee injury.
In the match against MFF, Mjällby also showed proof of how extremely dangerous they are in fixed situations. Against a relatively short Norrköping, there is a good chance to manage corners as well as throw-ins and free kicks in the best way. Not least when Marco Lund misses the visitors after his red card against Halmstad. 1-2 against the Hallenians was another heavy blow for Beijing, who are winless in their last six games.
Glen Riddersholm has to some extent controlled the visitors’ defense, but in match pictures where the Östgöta were expected to lead the game, I can count on one hand how many times they impressed. Without Sigurdsson, Nyman has looked very lonely at the top and if Mjällby manages to minimize the areas for Khazeni and Lind, I don’t see Norrköping with any clear plan B at Strandvallen.
Grass is not the guests’ cup of coffee and when Mjällby are also recognized as strong in front of their own audience, I am attracted by the left side. If one stays around 45 percent, it is a highly current spike and on this analysis I will leave the left sign alone. On the cooperative system, it is not impossible that the cross sneaks along if the wallet allows.
Notable interruptions
Herman Johansson, Mjällby (suspended)
Alexander Johansson, Mjällby (knee injury)
Silas Nwankwo, Mjällby (knee injury)
Marco Lund, Norrköping (suspended)
Not sure about games
Jesper Ceesay, Norrköping (unknown)
2023-07-15 21:30:00
#expert #expect #Blåvitt #Västico
