Hidden game ‘amnesty – changing the constitution’ Watch for December.

October 30 is the last day of the House of Representatives meeting. In the 2nd Annual Ordinary Session No. 1 and will reopen the session on December 12.

We need to keep an eye on the hot agendas coming up in the House. In the middle of a political game that lasted about 6 weeks. The bargaining power is even greater.

The whole matter “amnesty” The council meeting on October 24 adopted a resolution of 270 to 152, agreeing to “6 comments” in the report of the committee (committee) specifically examining the guidelines for implementing the draft law. (Amnesty Act) chaired by Chusak Sirinil, Minister attached to the Prime Minister’s Office.

It certainly reinforces the political angles that each side launches at each other without holding back. Especially the case about him “Competition” To the case under the Criminal Code Section 110 and Section 112 put Pheu Thai in two circles.

The first party circle is the coalition government.Whether it is Bhumjai Thai Unifying Thailand to create the nation, democracy or even Palang Pracharath that is divided into 2 poles that have a role in competition for space“Tory Party” Sing together for disapproval of the offenses in the case of Section 110 and Section 112

So that members of the Pheu Thai Party, such as “Jaturon Chaisaeng”, who was a member of the Thai Pheu Party, had to come out and offend some political parties. “This agenda is not meant to be an agenda or an opportunity for political parties to compete with each other to show their loyalty.”

No different from Circle 2: The People’s Party As the leader of the opposition party who asked for the Pheu Thai Party’s position on that issue Download the words of the leaders Or some members of the Pheu Thai Party who once said The Pheu Thai Party and the People’s Party must be together .

The Thai Pheu Party is now, despite the latest signs, shifting into reverse gear. along with the same tune Agree with amnesty in cases under Section 112 Hoping to keep the balance of power of the coalition government parties without losing the rhythm.

But deep down, there are still some MPs who are secretly connected to the people. and political activists There is still no certainty on this issue, with concerns about whether or not the majority could be lost to the Orange Party.

This is clearly seen from the voting results which were clearly divided into 3 directions, including agree, disagree and refrain from voting.

Therefore, we have to keep an eye on the period that lasts another 6 weeks before the next session of the House opens. Will the Thai Pheu Party have any political means to release them after this?

December’s “4 Draft Amnesty Acts” measures new power

Recently, there has been a signal from “Prime Minister Ink” Paethongthan Shinawatra, Prime Minister as head of the Thai Pheu Party. Speaking of the proposed amnesty law from the Pheu Thai Party, We must speak first. Regarding the Party’s Strategy Committee Please be assured that when the next council meeting opens on December 12, a decision will be made on this matter.

So far, 4 drafts of the Amnesty Act are awaiting consideration at the House of Representatives, including:

1. Version of the Ruam Thai Sang Chat Party called“Draft of the Act to Promote a Peaceful Society”Wichai Sudsawat, Chumphon MP, is a confidant of “Chumpol Chulsai” or Lookmee, PDRC leader, who aims to clear the crime of “PDRC leaders”.

2. The version of the small party group has 1 vote. Thai Teachers for the People’s Party, new party, New Social Power Party Thai local party New Democratic Party Named “Draft Act to Promote a Peaceful Society”

This version found that the Democratic Party has MPs, such as rules and conventions, including Pracharat Party MPs such as Sukarno and the party’s secretary general, Matha.

3. Version of the Progressive Party (presented to the House of Representatives) Before the party was dissolved) there was “Chaithawat Tulathon” who was the leader. It is called the draft amnesty bill for people who have committed crimes as a result of political conflict.

and 4. A version of the people who have 36,723 voters, led by “Poonsuk Poonsukcharoen”, a lawyer at the Lawyers Center for Human Rights. People’s Amnesty Network’s Standard Called “Draft Citizens’ Amnesty Act”

Recently a sign has emerged from the Pheu Thai Party. “Chusak Sirinil” Minister attached to the Prime Minister’s Office As deputy leader of the Pheu Thai Party (PAT), speaking about the move in proposing a draft amnesty bill on behalf of the Pheu Thai Party. party meeting Most MPs want it to be proposed. It does not include offenses under the Criminal Code, Section 110 and Section 112.

The longer the constitutional change progresses, the greater the “bargaining power”.

Another hot agenda that awaits the House of Representatives. In the next session, it is inevitable to consider draft amendments to the constitution. And many documents are still ready to be submitted.

As you know, when the game of changing the constitution was made “stumble” Whether it is a change on each section between “Pheu Thai Party” and “The People’s Party” On the issue of removing the ethics department that was removed at the last meeting In the middle of secret politics that looks down on the board.

Until he came to solve the game by lending a hand to MP. Get the opportunity to change the whole constitution, except section 1 and section 2. including constitutional law or all children’s laws

It’s time to find a broken game. “Supreme Council” covered in blue Play the game about breaking the resolution of the House of Representatives. By changing the criteria for referendum on constitutional changes. From “single majority” as previously agreed by the House of Representatives, back to “level 2 majority” or “double majority”

It is like “closing the door and banging the chest” to change the constitution. It’s hard to happen. Until the House of Representatives had to vote to confirm the original resolution. and set up a joint committee to investigate these issues.

It is not unlike the image of the disagreement between the “Pheu Thai Party” which supports a one-level referendum and the “Bumjaithai Party” which is seen as having made a 360 degree U-turn. From having voted to accept the principle of a one-stage referendum from the “first term” to the “third term”

Look at the votes in the joint committee. There were 28 people at the first meeting on October 30. Look, Pheu Thai side and political parties Those who support a one-stage referendum have 12 votes, and Bumjaithai and Senators, who support a two-stage referendum, have 16 votes.

Therefore, it is necessary to monitor the bargaining power of each side. If “Pheu Thai” and “Bhumjaithai” could include “Blue Senator” cleared The opportunity to go back to accept the original approved by the House, that is, a high “one-step referendum”, but if things are not completely resolved, there is also the possibility of a two-floor game.

Furthermore, these matters must be discussed at the next meeting of the Council. Whether the session opens on December 12th or in the next 6 weeks we should see another round of power testing games.

In the meantime, we have to wait among political signs that are “long”, which could mean “negotiating strength” that will do “even more” too!