Very heavy occasional rains (50 to 75 mm) are expected in Chiapas and Quintana Roo; strong (25 to 50 mm) in the State of Mexico, Guerrero, Michoacán, Oaxaca, Veracruz and Yucatán; intervals of showers (from 5 to 25 mm) in Baja California, Campeche, Mexico City, Coahuila, Guanajuato, Hidalgo, Morelos, Nuevo León, Puebla, Querétaro, San Luis Potosí, Tabasco, Tamaulipas and Tlaxcala, as well as isolated rains ( from 0.1 to 5 mm) in Chihuahua, Colima, Jalisco and Sonora.
Greater intensity rainfall could generate landslides, an increase in the levels of rivers and streams, as well as overflows and flooding in low areas of the aforementioned states, so the population is urged to heed the warnings of the National Meteorological Service (SMN), of the National Water Commission (Conagua), and follow the recommendations of Civil Protection.
Wind with gusts of 60 to 80 kilometers per hour (km/h) and dust devils are expected in Baja California and Sonora, with possible whirlwinds or tornadoes in Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nuevo León and Tamaulipas; gusts of 40 to 60 km/h in Campeche, Quintana Roo and Yucatán, with possible dust devils in Baja California Sur, Durango, San Luis Potosí, Sinaloa and Zacatecas, as well as northerly winds with gusts of 40 to 60 km/h in the isthmus and gulf of Tehuantepec (Chiapas and Oaxaca) and waves of 1 to 2 meters high on the western coast of the Baja California peninsula and the coast of Quintana Roo.
Predicted strong winds could blow down trees and billboards.
Minimum temperatures of -10 to -5 degrees Celsius are expected in mountainous areas of Baja California, Chihuahua and Durango; from -5 to 0 degrees in mountain areas of Sonora and Zacatecas, and from 0 to 5 degrees in high areas of the State of Mexico, Hidalgo, Jalisco, Michoacán, Puebla, Sinaloa, Tlaxcala and Veracruz, as well as snow or sleet in Baja California.
In contrast, maximum temperatures of 35 to 40 degrees Celsius are expected in Colima, Guerrero, Jalisco, Michoacán, Nayarit and Sinaloa, and 30 to 35 degrees in Campeche, Chiapas, Coahuila, the northeast of Durango, Nuevo León, Oaxaca, San Luis Potosí, southern Sonora, Tabasco, Tamaulipas, Veracruz and Yucatán.
The aforementioned will originate from a dry line over Chihuahua and Coahuila, a low pressure channel over the northeast of the country, the subtropical jet stream, the entry of humid air from the oceans, low pressure channels over the center and southeast of the country , instability at high levels of the atmosphere, a new cold front, associated with a polar trough, and the polar and subtropical jet streams.
Forecast by region
For the Valley of Mexico, partly cloudy skies are forecast for most of the day, a cool morning environment with fog banks and cold temperatures in high areas; in the afternoon, temperate to warm atmosphere. In Mexico City, a minimum temperature of 12 to 14 degrees and a maximum of 24 to 26 degrees is expected, and in Toluca, State of Mexico, a minimum of 8 to 10 degrees and a maximum of 20 to 22 degrees. Wind from the east and northeast from 10 to 25 km/h with gusts of 40 km/h.
In the Baja California peninsula, partly cloudy skies are expected in the morning, fog banks on the western coast and mountain areas, a cool environment, being cold to very cold with frost in the mountains of northern Baja California; A mild afternoon atmosphere is expected in Baja California and warm in Baja California Sur, with partly cloudy skies. A west wind of 15 to 30 km/h with gusts of 60 to 80 km/h is also expected in Baja California, and gusts of 40 to 60 km/h in Baja California Sur, both with possible dust devils and waves of 1 to 30 km/h. 2 meters high on the western coast of the peninsula.
The weather forecasts in the North Pacific will be, during the morning, skies with scattered cloudiness, fog banks and a cool atmosphere in the region, being very cold in the mountains of Sonora; Towards the afternoon, a warm atmosphere is expected in Sonora and very hot in Sinaloa, with partly cloudy skies. Likewise, west and southwest winds of 15 to 30 km/h are expected in the region, with gusts of 60 to 80 km/h in Sonora, and gusts of 40 to 60 km/h in Sinaloa, both with possible dust devils.
In the Central Pacific, partly cloudy skies are expected during the day; morning atmosphere from cool to temperate in the region, cold in the mountains of Jalisco and Michoacán, with fog banks on the coasts and high areas; at dusk, warm to hot atmosphere, cloudy sky. In addition, wind of variable direction of 10 to 20 km/h with gusts of up to 40 km/h is expected in the region.
For the South Pacific, partly cloudy skies are forecast for most of the day; in the morning, fog banks on coasts and high areas, cool, temperate atmosphere on the isthmus and coastal areas; during the afternoon, warm atmosphere, cloudy sky. Likewise, a variable wind direction of 10 to 25 km/h is estimated in the region, and a northern component with gusts of 40 to 60 km/h in the isthmus and gulf of Tehuantepec.
The weather in the states on the Gulf of Mexico slope will be, in the morning, temperate in the region with fog banks, cool in mountain areas and cold in mountain peaks of Veracruz, partly cloudy sky; In the afternoon, a warm atmosphere, cloudy skies and easterly winds of 15 to 30 km/h are expected in the region, with gusts of 60 to 80 km/h and possible whirlwinds or tornadoes in areas of Tamaulipas.
Partially cloudy skies are expected during the day in the Yucatan Peninsula; mild morning atmosphere; At dusk, a hot atmosphere is expected, especially in areas of Yucatán, and easterly winds of 15 to 30 km/h with gusts of 40 to 60 km/h on the coasts of the peninsula and waves of 1 to 2 meters high in the areas. coasts of Quintana Roo.
For the states of the northern table, during the morning, clear to partly cloudy skies, a cold to cool environment with fog banks in mountain areas, very cold with possible frost in mountain areas of Zacatecas, and freezing with frost in areas are forecast. mountains of Chihuahua and Durango; Warm evening atmosphere and cloudy skies are expected. Southerly winds of 15 to 30 km/h are also expected in the region, with gusts of 60 to 80 km/h in Chihuahua, Coahuila and Nuevo León, with possible formation of whirlwinds or tornadoes; as well as gusts of 40 to 60 km/h with dust devils in Durango, San Luis Potosí and Zacatecas.
Finally, the weather conditions for the entities of the Central table will be, in the morning, partly cloudy skies, cool atmosphere with fog banks in mountain areas and cold in the mountains of Hidalgo, Puebla and Tlaxcala; Towards the afternoon, a mild to warm environment is expected, with cloudy skies and winds of variable direction from 10 to 25 km/h in the region, with gusts of up to 40 km/h in storm areas.
Stay informed on the pages www.gob.mx/conagua and on the forecast by municipality.