GroenLinks-PvdA is doing everything it can to prevent the PVV-VVD cabinet – Joop – BNNVARA

The vast majority of voters are still unsure about which box will be colored red on Wednesday. According to I&O Research, the so-called strategic voter can be the decisive factor for the final outcome. “A week before the elections, VVD and NSC are jointly leading, while GroenLinks-PvdA and PVV are also still participating in the battle to become the largest. Three out of four voters are not yet sure of their vote choice. This doubting voter will ultimately make a difference.”

In a speech for the GroenLinks-PvdA campaign team, Jesse Klaver said that everything must be done “to ensure that we do not soon get Geert Wilders 1. Or a continuation of Rutte 1, with Dilan Yesilgöz as Prime Minister and with Wilders also in that cabinet. Now it comes down to it. Because it is a threat to everything we believe in and everything we stand for.” Such a nightmare can be prevented if GroenLinks-PvdA becomes the largest. “It really won’t happen on its own.”

In the polls GroenLinks-PvdA stands to gain at least 4 to 8 seats and leader VVD loses up to 8 seats, while the PVV remains stable. In order to surpass the VVD in size, the left-wing combination must catch up with the VVD by at least 5 seats, according to the Peilingwijzer.

Out research conducted by I&O Research it emerges that 75 percent of voters have not yet made a final choice. There is, however, a slight shift. For example, voters are losing interest in the New Social Contract because Pieter Omtzigt repeatedly appears to be indecisive and the party is too unclear. Socially oriented voters who preferred NSC are now choosing GroenLinks-PvdA, the more conservative part of the supporters is partly switching to the VVD or PVV.

Pieter Omtzigt is quickly being written off as leader by most voters. While 32 percent still saw him as a real leader in September, this is now only 20 percent. Dilan Yesilgöz’s standing as a leader is also declining somewhat. Frans Timmermans, on the other hand, is rising in stature.

That does not mean that it is all roses for Timmermans and his team. On the contrary. Although left-wing voters do not judge him negatively, he does not make hearts beat faster either. Despite his weeks-long introductory tour through the Netherlands, less than a quarter of respondents think that the party leader understands what is going on among ordinary people. He is accused, among other things, of focusing too much on finding possible coalition partners. Timmermans tried to pry Omtzigt and his voters away from the right-wing corner.

Peter Kanne of I&O Research states:

GroenLinks-PvdA has lost ground in recent weeks, from 29 seats in September to 23 now. Voters who voted PvdA in 2021 (58% would now vote for GL-PvdA) are dropping out to a greater extent than voters who voted GroenLinks (74% would now vote for GL-PvdA). Some former PvdA members are dropping out because they do not like the collaboration with GroenLinks. Nevertheless, GroenLinks-PvdA has a large win compared to the 2021 House of Representatives elections (together 17 seats at the time, now 23).

New voters hope that the party can make a left-wing fist in an upcoming coalition. For voters of GroenLinks-PvdA, the strategic vote (a possible government with GL-PvdA) has become more important in the past two months. Strongly doubting voters from D66, Volt and Party for the Animals can still give GL-PvdA a final sprint.