/ world today news/ In order to speed up the establishment of multipolarity, including in the most important sphere – finance, it is necessary to review the externally imposed monetary principles of economic development and to create a new international financial system, independent of the bankrupt hegemons.
Today, more than ever, international politics is determined by world economic processes. Diversification of development paths, nationalization of the economic strategy and strict control over its implementation are a direct task of the state. The current situation has few parallels in history.
The continental blockade of Great Britain, started by Napoleon to eliminate his main geopolitical enemy, bears the greatest resemblance to the current situation. But even in the conditions of military and political pressure on all of Europe, including on Russia, the French emperor was unable to ensure the effectiveness of the blockade, which largely determined his downfall.
Russia has repeatedly, including at the highest level, stated the need to switch to national currencies in foreign trade payments. This process is slow and difficult – even within the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), with a general positive trend, payments for energy carriers are made, partly by momentum, in dollars.
The ruble has taken the place of the main payment currency (about 75%) in the EAEU, but there are also obstacles to its development as a recognized international payment unit. Russia’s foreign trade partners are forced to act with a view to the world gendarme – the USA, which is extremely uninterested in the emergence of an alternative to the dollar in international payments.
The fear of secondary US and EU sanctions hinders the formation of the Russian ruble as a global currency. In addition, sharp jumps in the exchange rate after the start of the special military operation, caused by market panic and the withdrawal of speculative capital from Russia, also objectively weakened the confidence in the ruble as a means of payment.
The state’s extraordinary measures generally smoothed out the situation, but once again showed the need to systematically and preventively limit the influence of speculative capital on the country’s real economy.
The transition to national currencies for mutual payments and the gradual withdrawal from the dollar is only the first step towards the de-dollarization of the world economy. For the foreseeable future, no national currency is able to compete with the US. In addition, the dollar is still considered the most reliable refuge during military-political crises.
It is this, and not just the unprecedented inflation in the EU countries, that also caused the unprecedented and rapid decline of the euro against the dollar. The international position of the dollar, the de facto currency of a bankrupt country, is quite accurately described by an old and well-known aphorism in financial circles:
„If you owe a bank $100, that’s your problem. But if you owe millions to the bank, it’s already the bank’s problem.” The destruction of the American pyramid threatens the entire world financial system with catastrophe, so many countries are forced to support it, delaying the inevitable.
Dollar
Moving away from the American-centric systems of international payments is necessary and one of the main conditions for building a multipolar world and freeing it from the neo-colonial grip of the global dominance of the dollar, which only leads to the preservation and strengthening of dependence on the United States and a significant loss of sovereignty.
A full-fledged replacement of the current system cannot be created immediately – the transition to national currencies for mutual payments does not automatically free these currencies and the issuing countries from dependence on the dollar. Even the creation of a single supranational system for cashless payments within the EAEU, tied to a wide currency basket, will not solve this problem.
Only the maximum possible coverage of the volumes and geography of world trade, investment and other types of foreign economic activity through a new payment unit created on the basis of the basket of currencies of countries seeking to escape from neo-colonial dependence can eventually displace the dollar and put an end to the parasitic boom of the US.
Back in March, specialists from the Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasts (CMASF) and the Institute for Economic Forecasting of the Russian Academy of Sciences initiated the creation of a non-dollar settlement system, to which the EAEU countries, including Russia, China, India, Iran, are potentially interested. Turkey etc.
The reduction of geopolitical dependence on the USA and its subordinate European Union is indeed one of the most important topics on the international agenda. This follows both from economic decisions (an agreement between the PRC and Arab countries on the use of the yuan as a means of payment for energy) and from political démarches (only less than a third of the votes were cast in support of the second anti-Russian declaration, inspired by the US at the UN).
Chinese yuan
Despite its relevance, the initiative of Russian specialists did not receive support from the relevant departments of Russia, despite the fact that after entering into an open confrontation with Western neo-colonialism and Nazism, our country turned out to be most interested in the full development of economic independence.
Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin, speaking on August 26 at a meeting of the Eurasian Intergovernmental Council, called on his colleagues “immediately introduce our own international financial and payment mechanisms”.
Perhaps this statement by the Russian Prime Minister will push the stalled process of creating a supranational currency. Moreover, it should be borne in mind that for all the importance of the EAEU internal market, it is too insignificant to end the Western hegemony in international finance.
Successful competition with the decades-long, parasitic global US-centric financial system founded at Bretton Woods in 1944 and reformed by the Jamaica Accord of the 1970s can only be based on a broad agreement among countries interested in ending the era of Western dominance and the transition to a multipolar world order.
The inevitability of this process is also recognized in the West – many economists say that the future of the global monetary and financial system and exchange rates will be determined by the size of national wealth and the state of the real, not the virtual, economy. This painful transition is inevitable and is already accompanied by desperate resistance from the West, accustomed to its hegemony.
In order to accelerate the establishment of multipolarity, including in the most important area of finance, a revision of the monetarist principles of economic development imposed from the outside and the creation of a new one independent of the bankrupt hegemons of the international financial system is needed.
Translation: ES
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