Mario Picazo, a meteorologist for eltiempo.es, was the one who warned about it. A few weeks ago, he wrote an article that did not go unnoticed: launches a serious warning about what will happen in our country when the second half of the current year arrives.
And it is that, during the last three years, the equatorial waters of the Pacific Ocean have registered temperature values below normal, an oceanic pattern known as La Niña, but this 2023 the situation is going to change. While ‘La Niña’ deflates between February and May, ‘El Niño’ will emerge from the summer months, according to NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration).
High probabilities
The famous meteorologist has explained that “a change in the cycle is approaching that will severely impact the behavior of the climate.” ‘El Niño’ is going to settle in different areas of the planet, “including Europe” and he calls it a “feared phenomenon”.
Now, the State Meteorological Agency (Aemet) highlights it: “It seems that the probability of the arrival of “El Niño” this summer is being confirmed more and more”. It is something that must be taken into accountsince “it is a matter of interest due to its repercussions on the global climate…”, they point out.
“According to a report issued today by NOAA, there is a 62% probability that “El Niño” conditions will be established. during the May-June period: For its part, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) already gave a 55% probability between June and August in March.” This is what the experts collect… but, what is this phenomenon?
What’s behind ‘El Niño’
It should be noted that ‘El Niño’ is a natural phenomenon characterized by the fluctuation of ocean temperatures in the central and eastern part of the equatorial Pacific, associated with changes in the atmosphere. That is, it has a great influence on the climatic conditions of various parts of the world.
Thanks to scientific progress in understanding and modelling, forecasting skills have improved on time scales from one to nine months in advance, which helps society prepare for the dangers associated with this phenomenonsuch as heavy rains, floods and droughts. This is explained by the World Meteorological Organization (OMM).
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