“Gallup”: GERB – 21.4%. “We continue the change” second with 15.2%, BSP is third and Slavi fourth – 2024-04-19 06:24:08

/ world today news/ If the National Assembly elections were held today, the picture of the voting would probably be as follows:

GERB-SDS would get 21.4%

“We continue the change” – 15.2%

BSP – 13.4%

ITN – 12.3%

DB – 12.1%

DPS – 11.4%

IBGNI – 4.1%

“Revival” – 3.3%

VMRO – 2.2%

Others – 4.6%

The data point to a “package” of formations after GERB-SDS, some of which also contest the possibility of the second place. The drilling shows clearly how the news of the last days – the request of the new formation – is reflected. For the moment, the momentum of the new entrants challenges the support of the established parties and creates the most dynamic prospects of “Continuing the Change”. This perhaps enables this formation to “break away” from the “pursuing” group.

All this causes a momentary tremor in the picture and leads to displacements in the layers, for which it is yet to be seen whether they gain durability. That’s why – of course – the data is a snapshot, and the upcoming month and a half of the campaign will show what the trends are.

It seems that to the greatest extent the new party addresses an electorate that would otherwise vote for Democratic Bulgaria. Quite a few of the voters who would have been or were already on the fringes of ITN are now also orienting themselves towards the new formation. Even supporters of the otherwise solid BSP and even GERB are showing interest in the new party.

50.6% say they will vote in the election. 22.6% say they are likely to vote. This means that interest in the elections is growing. It remains to be seen whether and what impact the merging of the two types of elections will have, but for the time being a higher turnout can be expected compared to the July 11 elections.

The data are from a telephone survey conducted between September 21 and 26 among 2,000 adult Bulgarians using a special panel methodology that ensures maximum representativeness. The absolute maximum error is ±2.4% at 50% shares. 1% of the entire sample equals about 55 thousand people. The drill is part of the Gallup International Balkan research program.