– She seems completely sure, that’s the change. I think she leans on the Defense Intelligence Service. Denmark’s threat assessment has been clear here – clearer than Norway’s, says head teacher in intelligence at Staff School, Tom Røseth, to Dagbladet.
The Danish Prime Minister, Mette Frederiksen, attended the security conference in Munich on Saturday.
Frederiksen believes there is an imminent risk that Russia will also invade other countries, writes BT.
– If Ukraine loses, we risk the whole of Europe and the West losing. I have no doubt. I don’t think Putin will stop at Ukraine. He will move on to the next country, the prime minister said.
Røseth believes it is a clear speech from the prime minister.
– It is a clear warning and message to allies and our own population, that it is important to take the fight now and not think that if we pull in and give up, Russia will not give us problems.
– Increased threat to the whole of Europe
The intelligence expert says at the same time that he is not surprised by the statement, and that we have heard similar things before, but that Frederiksen is somewhat clearer and more alarming now.
– Denmark is somewhat sheltered – they are far from Russia and have reduced their defences. But the fact that they are also vigilant in terms of security policy and see the threats from Russia is important, says Røseth.
– A Russia that wins the war and builds itself up militarily will be an increased threat to the whole of Europe. The battle is now to stop them in the neighborhood, instead of on the tram when they get here.
Røseth believes that Putin can take Moldova and Georgia within five to ten years, and be an increased threat to NATO.
– If Russia manages to turn Ukraine to the east and take large parts of the territory, Moldova will be in a very risky position. They are also very nervous in Georgia.
But according to recent NATO intelligence, Russia is losing approximately 2,000 soldiers for every 90 to 100 meters they take in eastern Ukraine, writes The Times.
Store tapstall per meter
– In recent months, the reported Russian casualty figures during the battles in Donetsk have been the highest per day since the invasion in February last year, the head teacher at the section for land power at the War School, lieutenant colonel Palle Ydstebø, previously told Dagbladet.
– Can make the world more dangerous
NATO chief Jens Stoltenberg said in his speech at the security conference that the Ukraine war has shown that the world has no other choice but to invest more in defence.
– In this new and more conflict-filled world, we can no longer allow ourselves to see our defense capability as something optional. It is a necessity.
– Yes, spending more money on defense means less money for other important things. But nothing is more important than our safety. And to preserve the peace, said the NATO chief.
The war in Ukraine demonstrates that this is not just a European, but a global threat, Stoltenberg said.
– We don’t know how this war will end. There are no risk-free alternatives. But the biggest risk is if Putin wins. It will send a message to him and all authoritarian leaders that they can use force to get what they want, Stoltenberg said from the podium on Saturday.
– It can make the world more dangerous. And us more vulnerable, he added.