Raid on the votes. The leading trio of the presidential election won nearly three quarters of the vote, with 27.84% in favor of Emmanuel Macron, 23.15% for Marine Le Pen and 21.95% in the bosom of Jean-Luc Melenchon. Results that draw three very distinct France.
Outgoing President Emmanuel Macron continues his takeover bid on the right. It was in the department of Hauts-de-Seine, an impregnable stronghold of the RPR and the UMP for decades, that he achieved his best score. Emmanuel Macron obtains 49% of the ballots in Neuilly-sur-Seine in the bastion of the former head of state, Nicolas Sarkozy. It is by far in the lead in Boulogne-Billancourt (45.6%), Saint-Cloud (45%) and Levallois (42%).
Emmanuel Macron is, moreover, like the Europeans, a hit in western Paris and its electorate of senior executives. He won 48.5% in the 7th46.8% in the 16th arrondissement, 42.2% in Loges-en-Josas, one of the wealthiest towns in France.
Macronist Vendée
It is also full of votes among French foreigners (45.1%) often won over to the virtues of “happy globalization”.
Emmanuel Macron, as in 2017, also relies on the Great West, a formerly rural area of Christian democracy, which suffers less than the North-East quarter from the ravages of deindustrialization. It exceeds the 30% mark in Pays-de-la-Loire and Brittany. The one who has long been portrayed as president of cities occupies the highest step of the podium in a number of small moderate rural towns in Ille-et-Vilaine, Loire-Atlantique or Mayenne.
He gleaned more than a third of the votes in Vendée (35.6%). A department renowned for its dynamic economic fabric where the former president of the general council Philippe de Villiers bites the dust. Its champion Eric Zemmour gathers only 6.1% of the votes.
Emmanuel Macron struggles, on the other hand, to win first place in the big cities, unlike 2017. He only wins in four of the first ten (Paris, Lyon, Nice and Bordeaux) and 42 of the 100 largest.
Melenchonist cities
The outgoing president is preceded, there, by Jean-Luc Mélenchon who benefits fully from the useful vote on the left. Jean-Luc Mélenchon won in six of the ten largest cities in the country and 51 of the 100 most populated. Among its gains, many cities administered by left-wing citizens’ alliances, EELV and, above all, the PS such as Marseille, Strasbourg, Lille, Nantes and Rennes.
In mainland France, Jean-Luc Mélenchon is at its peak in Seine-Saint-Denis where he is close to the 50% mark (49.1%). The tribune of La France Insoumise arrives very largely in the lead in Saint-Denis (61.1%), Clichy-sous-Bois (60.5%) La Courneuve (64%). Scores reminiscent of the performances, formerly of the PCF in the red suburbs.
According to an Ifop poll for La CroixJean-Luc Mélenchon is reaping the fruits of his fight against “Islamophobia”: 70% of Muslims reportedly filed a ballot in his favour.
Main surprise of the ballot, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, who narrowly failed at the gates of the second round, is also a misfortune in Overseas where this Jacobin rallied to a large autonomy: 56.2% in Guadeloupe, 53, 1% in Martinique, 50.6% in Guyana.
So many results which draw the DNA of a young and mixed electorate, popular, often dependent on the public service, also composed of graduates and precarious intellectuals in the big cities.
The North-East Lepenist quarter
Finally, the results of this first round show areas of friction in the working class electorate with Marine Le Pen. In Sochaux, stronghold of the Peugeot-Stellantis factory, Jean-Luc Mélenchon greatly improves his score, pointing to 31.3%, against 32.6% in favor of the RN candidate.
But the voters of the National Rally candidate are, above all, the inverted mirror of the Macronists in western Paris: they live, for the most part, far from urban centers, are poorly qualified and belong to the category of workers and employees. .
A sociology that intersects with what the geographer Emmanuel Todd calls the France of storms: the North-East quarter of the country, spearhead of the post-war boom, today struggling with deindustrialization, which takes a dim view of free movement of people and goods. Marine Le Pen easily exceeds the 30% mark in the Somme, Aube, Haute-Saône, Meuse, Ardennes, Haute-Marne, Pas-de-Calais and Aisne. These last two departments were the only ones in France where she had beaten Emmanuel Macron in the second round of the 2017 presidential election.
But it is in Mayotte that she obtains her best score: 42.7%. Marine Le Pen also gets a lot of votes in the South with her anti-immigration speech: 35.5% in Fréjus, 33.5% in Istres, 31.1% in Béziers, 31.1% in Ajaccio…
It nevertheless suffered competition from Eric Zemmour in the South. The Reconquest candidate achieves good scores in Cannes (17.3%), Saint-Raphaël (15.4%) or Nice (14.3%). It is also strong in the strongholds of the right-wing bourgeoisie such as Neuilly-sur-Seine (18.8%) and Versailles (18.5%).
So many cities, where, caught between Emmanuel Macron and Eric Zemmour, Valérie Pécresse is struggling. With her 4.78%, the candidate of the main party of local elected officials, LR does not manage to reach the 5% mark, synonymous with reimbursement of her campaign expenses.
A rout that spares the town of Vélizy-Villacoublay in the Yvelines where the Republican candidate is a municipal councilor. Valérie Pécresse peaks at 11.3% far behind Emmanuel Macron (32.2%). A score that Anne Hidalgo nevertheless envies (1.75% nationally). The mayor of Paris fails at 2.2% in the capital.
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