The upcoming weekend could be particularly stressful in parts of Bavaria, especially in Chiemgau, Berchtesgadener Land and Bavarian Forestwill be characterized by heavy, continuous rain. The exact intensity of the precipitation is currently uncertain, but the precipitation is expected to be concentrated in the adjacent Regions of Austria and the Czech Republic.
Will there be flooding? Current forecasts
According to the German Weather Service (DWD) a cold front is moving over Bavaria, which could cause increased amounts of precipitation, especially in the southeast, until the weekend. The current models show that in Chiemgau and Berchtesgadener Land 160-200 Liter pro Quadratmeter could fall, but the probability of this is less than 60 percent.
Whether there will be another major flood in Bavaria after the flood at the end of May/beginning of June cannot be confirmed with certainty at this time. If all forecasts are correct, we expect flooding on the Elbe and Oder next week – because of the enormous amounts of rain in neighboring countries.
Possible effects of rain
Although the focus of the rain is expected outside Bavaria, the precipitation could still have an impact on the region, especially along the rivers Inn and Danube. The flood intelligence service has no warnings issued yetas the risk of flooding is considered low until Sunday.
Preparing for the weekend weather
For the Residents of potentially affected areas it is advisable to keep an eye on the weather reports and take appropriate precautions. Information on flood protection and what to do in heavy rain can be vital.
The weather models are still being adjusted and it is recommended tdaily the latest developments The experts are cautiously optimistic that the heaviest rainfall may spare Bavaria.
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It runs through the upcoming storm situation #ContinuousRain to a focus from S-Poland through CZ to AT. Concerning #Flood also the large area quantities in the north of AT. The GFS sees it as similarly explosive: /LD pic.twitter.com/dHZLx5PKTj
— Kachelmannwetter (@Kachelmannwettr) September 11, 2024