The Minister of Health Adam Vojtch has at his disposal a number of expert experts on the darkness of the breeding of the new coronavirus and the capacities of our health care. I would like to add one string of expertise concerning the breeding mathematical function called exponential. Mon vs surprise, but the worst thing today is not the virus, but the first exponential.
You would not be the first to be surprised by the breeding of these mathematical functions. Similarly, the Indian ruler, who the inventors promised as a reward, only had one, which was placed on the board on the first half of one grain, on the second two, on the third three, then eight, eight and so on. About 9 trillion grains would have to be eaten on the last half of the cake, which gives an answer of about 327 rams by harvesting all the cereals in the world.
Saw a kind of wave of the epidemic, said Prymula. Parasitologist Flegr estimates two weeks and 10 thousand nakaench per day |
The exponential rst is a monster. Not only because it is fast at the end. His main wickedness is that it is slowly slow, that nothing dramatic happens at all for a long time. People can estimate for a long time five developments, when it is a linear development, when each week the monitored quantity increases, you need a number of coronavirus infections, by some constant value. An inexperienced bag will not be able to estimate when each week the size will increase by its multiple.
A prv to poet nakaench dl. In such a case, nothing dramatic happens for days and weeks. Only suddenly, during the day, sweat rose to values that would exceed the capacity of medical facilities in any state and the rest of the world shut down the economy. Just for the sake of clarity: Last week, 1,095 people tested positive for the daily finger, in the next week it will end up with at least 4,000 people, and in the next week more than 10,000 people. The sweat of people in the hospital and the sweat of people in the open state will grow similarly, only a little faster.
Observations from the surrounding states show that the case of the current coronavirus epidemic will go from complete well-being to catastrophes around the city, and for most of the time it is still relatively comfortable. If it does not happen that its prime minister may try to stay on artificial ventilation, or if he is responsible for the strict strict force before preparing anti-epidemic agents, politicians never decide to take the necessary, but painful measures of you, ie at a time when se vtin voli zdaj bt Ostaten a pehnan.
A co ns ek te? Evolution biologist Flegr pedpovd dal vvoj pandemie v esku |
And society will not avoid a collapse. At the same time, this coronavirus will take a very long time to coronavirus. It would have been enough for our current measures to be complied with in summer, or for the measures in force in Britain to be introduced today by the beginning of the week, and by the onset of real autumn we would avoid costly and really painful life, such as closing wheelbarrows. and closed restaurants and other businesses.
The Minister of Health, Vojtch, would not immediately praise the public for his real efforts, and he would not even speak of praise from the Prime Minister. Only by its means can I save thousands of lives and block the billion-dollar economic code. We probably missed the lockdown (and zenmu or nezenmu) on August 20th. When we put on the bag, we will separate it, and at the same time we will significantly reduce the length of the farm’s cessation and the length of time that our citizens will die in full-time hospitals.
I wish him and all the inhabitants of the Czech Republic maximum courage and wisdom in his decision-making.
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