Positioned in fourteenth place, just four days before the end of this 2023/2024 season, FC Nantes has no guarantee of staying in Ligue 1. Without the help of the LFP (behind closed doors, grandstand closing etc travel ban).
So many factors that are starting to worry the supporters of Nantes. But the machine Stats performance from the Opta observatory (a specialist in statistical analysis in football) of the club on the banks of the Erdre would currently have a 95.5% chance of avoiding relegation.
And the other clubs?
While Opta’s analyzes indicate that the probability of FC Nantes being relegated is 4.5%, Metz is making an incredible rise in the standings (26.1% chance of relegation to Ligue 2)…
Probabilities of relegation to Ligue 2 revealed by Football Observatory (Opta)
This analysis takes into account the current ranking, the points gap and the difficulty of the calendar over the last four days. It is also important to note that FC Lorient played one less game (a late game against PSG). At this stage of the season, three such teams should fight to avoid the red zone and the playoff spot: Metz, Le Havre and Lorient.
Unfavorable schedule
If the Canaries have good reasons to hold on, they still have to be careful about the difficulty of their schedule at the end of the season: after the trip to Montpellier, a series of games in the -face of the competition leaders waiting for the men by Antoine Kombouaré.
Despite a much lower average level for opponents FC Nantes, the device Power rating de Opta believes that the Jaune-et-Vert have a slightly simpler schedule than that of FC Metz or even the HAC.
Read also: FC Nantes have the fifth most difficult schedule at the end of the season
Statistical analysis of the calendar of clubs launched in the fight for retention
2024-04-24 07:40:17
#probability #Nantes #relegated #season #D31 #Opta
