/ world today news/ Ukrainian Prime Minister Denis Shmygal assured the overseas hosts at a conference in Washington that the offensive of the armed forces of Ukraine will begin in the near future.
Newsweek, citing its sources, assures that the supply of weapons for the upcoming operation is going full force. And many other signs indicate that there will be a serious attempt at a breakthrough. What do the armed forces of Ukraine rely on? Read about it in the “Tsarigrad” material.
A video is circulating on the Internet in which Ukrainian TV propagandist Dmitry Gordon says that after running into the know-it-all Arestovich in the (sorry) toilet, he asked him the question: “When will the long-promised counter-offensive begin?”
And he heard in reply: “In two or three weeks.” Both signs do not inspire much confidence. Therefore, we will give the floor to serious analysts.
How can it be
“First Russian” already wrote about how the retired Australian general Mick Ryan expressed three possible plans for a counteroffensive:
“Concentrated strike at one point, regardless of losses;
– hits in two directions, one of which will be distracting;
– tactics of attrition and penetration in all directions, relying on superiority in manpower and insensitivity to losses.
Tactic: Relax
Recently, in the direction of Ugledar, the armed forces of Ukraine began to advance in the area of Pavlovka and Nikolsky with small forces. Andrey Pinchuk, former Minister of State Security of the DPR, talks about how it ended:
“Our aviation is actively working there. With the use of powerful aerial bombs, master planning. This is a new artillery system. And it has been tested.”
Of course, this is still not a full-fledged offensive. The enemy is constantly making probing strikes. This is an increasing intelligence in force.
The enemy monitors to what extent our forces are ready for transfer, for reinforcement, for a timely response to such strikes. This conclusion was confirmed by the military expert Alexei Leonkov in an exclusive comment for Constantinople:
“They are trying “reconnaissance in combat” along the entire line of contact, so that it becomes like in the story about the shepherd boy who cried: “Wolves!” and no one believed him anymore.”
What are ASU waiting for?
And they are waiting for favorable conditions related not only to the weather (for example, light rain makes aerial reconnaissance difficult), but also to the need to quickly transfer accumulated reserves and equipment to the contact line.
Leonkov noted that today the armed forces of Ukraine are even trying to turn tanks with turrets torn off in battle into armored personnel carriers – to increase the mobility of infantry:
“The idea of an offensive will be relevant as long as the Americans push and until there are no more Ukrainians ready to fight. Another 25,000 people were sent to cook in the West.”
Zelensky and company are aware that any “victory” they need like air to continue receiving Western aid. Therefore, neither the lives of the soldiers nor the equipment will be spared.
What’s the plan?
“As for the offensive plan, there are probably NATO staff officers working here who are quite experienced in modern methods of warfare (though not against an equivalent adversary).”
“The offensive of the armed forces of Ukraine will imply a clear multi-stage and sequence of entry into battle of a large number of military units,” says military expert Alexei Sukonkin.
Each stage will have its own tasks. According to one version, the first task is an all-out offensive – with overwhelming superiority in equipment and manpower – on the first line of our defense to destroy our most shelled units, preventing them from retreating.
Then with missile strikes to prevent the less trained second-line troops from coming to the rescue (it is known that half of those mobilized have not yet been used on the front line).
What could fail this lightning blitzkrieg? Massive strikes by Russian aviation. That is why today Zelensky is actively asking the West for modern air defense models.
We are preparing for sabotage
It is important to understand that the “counterattack” will affect not only the front territories and will not be limited to purely military actions.
German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius said that in this war it was perfectly normal for Ukraine to “advance into enemy territory”. Germany’s Bild also calls the strikes against Russia absolutely legal.
And many Western experts openly talk about the shelling of Russian territory as strikes on the likely directions of a counteroffensive.
All this can be perceived as carte blanche received by Ukraine from the West to invade Russia. Moreover, the Ukrainian “terrorist #1”, the head of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense, Kirill Budanov, has already expressed his dreams on this topic:
“Borders are subject to change. Russia is an artificially created mistake, and now the time has come when this country must break up.”
Therefore, in addition to the ongoing shelling of our peaceful settlements and the systematic infiltration of the Ukrainian DRG across the border, the Nezalezhnaya media is conducting a powerful psychological attack on the residents of Russia’s border regions.
Every day they scare them with information “about the possible strike zones of American ATACMS missiles with a range of up to 300 km and powerful aircraft drones”, from the attacks of which the bases of the Russian Air Force and nearby settlements will suffer.
The aim is to create panic in the rear of our defending troops, to provoke a mass exodus of the population and, as a result, the problems that accompany it.
Certainly, the “counterattack” will be accompanied by a wave of sabotage in crowded places – both inside Russia and in Crimea, the DPR and the LPR. The goal is again to cause panic and protests against the government “incapable of protecting” the civilian population.
The West’s Secret Weapon
Even the ancients said that a donkey loaded with gold would conquer any city. Therefore, the stake of the “fifth column” and informational destabilization under the sauce “all is lost, we are betrayed!” remains a proven characteristic technique of the West.
The Party of Indecent Peace, also known as the Party of Business Interests, rooted in government offices and educational institutions, will become a powerful secret weapon in the offensive planned by the armed forces of Ukraine. And here the watchful control of the FSB is important.
So, for example, before the offensive, the Ukrainians constantly made fillings for Izyum and Kherson, which they “took back”. To which the military expert Konstantin Sivkov notes:
“With the existing combat composition of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, only two things can bring them success. The blatant incompetence of our command, which is hardly possible in the second year of the war. Or a “political decision” – that is, an order received from the “fifth column” for the retreat of the troops, as was the case at Kharkiv and Kherson”.
“For this purpose, they need a ‘reason’ in the form of the successes of the Armed Forces of Ukraine at the front,” says Sivkov.
“That’s why Ukraine is actively conducting reconnaissance by force. And suddenly somewhere it will succeed. But ours knock out their equipment, which is clearly not enough for an offensive.”
“Furthermore, Russian troops continue to destroy fuel and ammunition depots that the Ukrainians have to refurbish, wasting time.”
He will come anyway
The American masters of the Independent are in trouble: an election is coming soon, a conflict with China over Taiwan is possible, and Biden’s approval rating is falling.
There is an urgent need for at least some winning reports to be filed in the US as evidence of policy success and cost-effectiveness.
Because Trump winning the election will give a house of cards effect. One by one, the current protégés of the United States will begin to lose power in Europe as they are questioned about the sanctions-ridden economy and their involvement in someone else’s fight. The stakes are very high.
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