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Expert Predictions for the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2024: Critical Year for Western Countries

2024-02-24 23:20 Compiled by United Daily News Luo Fangyu/Real-time reporting

As the Russo-Ukrainian war enters its second anniversary, British Sky News interviewed experts about their predictions for the war in the next 12 months. Yaroslava, a researcher at the University of Birmingham in the UK who studies Russian foreign policy and post-Soviet affairs. Jaroslava Barbieri (Jaroslava Barbieri) has been paying attention to the war in Ukraine. She said that 2024 is the year when Western countries cannot make any more misjudgments.

Barbieri said: “The West underestimated Ukraine’s combat effectiveness in 2022, and underestimated Russia’s ability to recover from military defeats and sustain a long-term war last year. 2024 is a year when the West cannot afford to misjudge again. The consequences of this war The future depends on whether the West accepts the reality that this is not only a battle for survival in Ukraine, but also a battle for the survival of the entire West.”

Barbieri believes that the best situation is for former U.S. President and Republican presidential candidate Trump to stay away from the White House, and Western countries to develop a series of plans on how to use Russia’s frozen assets to seek advantages for Ukraine; and Ukraine Mobilization will be intensified, defense lines will be held and air defenses established, as will drone attacks.

A Ukrainian soldier took up his position on the front line near Krischivka, Udontsk Oblast, on the 19th.Associated Press

Barbieri also mentioned the worst-case scenario, namely “the resurgence of isolationism in the United States and political paralysis in Europe.” She said: “Facing a severe shortage of artillery shells, the Ukrainian army will be forced to scale down its military operations. Ukraine’s inability to replenish battlefield manpower will aggravate tensions brewing within society. Russia will continue to take advantage of signs of hesitation in the West to push Ukraine to The argument that the war cannot be won and that an agreement with Russia is the only option. This could lead to a new wave of Ukrainian refugees.”

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2024-02-24 15:20:56

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