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Exmar more than 40 percent higher after sale of LNG factory

08 augustus 2022

09:58

The European hunger for gas is reflected in the entire sector. The gas tanker shipping company Exmar announced the sale of its floating LNG factory Tango on Friday evening and will receive a hefty price for it. “A deal that removes all doubts about the balance sheet,” analysts say.

With a tiger jump of more than 35 percent, Exmar

Monday furore at the Brussels stock exchange. To the surprise of many, the natural gas shipping company has opened its Tango floating LNG factory sold to Italian oil and gas giant ENI priced between $572 million and $694 million, depending on Tango’s performance in the first six months of its launch.

Tango, a 144-meter-long colossus, has been unemployed since Argentina’s YPF broke its contract with Exmar two years ago. But with this deal, Exmar is doing an excellent job.

ING analyst Quirijn Mulder estimates that Exmar was able to sell the floating factory for about 17 times the estimated annual gross operating profit (EBITDA). “We estimate that Exmar turned net debt into a net cash position of $200 million in one go.”

The fact that the gas carrier shipping company receives such a solid price has to do with the changed market conditions. In 2022 the world will look completely different than in 2020.

As a result of the war in Ukraine, European gas prices have risen sharply. While Russia is gradually turning off the natural gas tap, the demand is high to ship natural gas from elsewhere in the world to Europe.

For export, natural gas is first converted into liquid LNG by cooling it to minus 162 degrees. ENI uses Tango for this. It then goes into an LNG ship that transports the LNG by sea. At its final destination, the cold liquid is regasified in onshore terminals or in coastal regasification vessels.

‘This transaction removes all doubts about Exmar’s balance sheet,’ says KBC Securities analyst Olivier Vandewoude. ‘There is now a new start, with room for debt reduction, investments in new LNG infrastructure and a solid dividend.’ The analyst raises his advice to ‘buy’ and more than doubles the price target to 13 euros.

We estimate that Exmar turned net debt into a net cash position of $200 million in one go.

Quirijn Mulder

ING-analist



“We believe a sale of Tango is the best possible scenario for Exmar,” said Kepler Cheuvreux analyst Andreas Nygard. ‘Certainly because the selling price is far above our expectations.’

Nygard more than doubles the price target to 12.80 euros. The bulk – 5.90 euros per share – is the solid price for Tango, the rest stems from the strong dollar.

It is still unclear what Exmar intends to use the money for. “There are several options on the table, but we don’t want to rush it,” said Jonathan Raes, infrastructure director at Exmar. “We have focused hard on this transaction in recent months, but there are plenty of ideas.”

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