2024. november 28. – 16:17
The governing parties continue to have the highest social support Szadvég’s November party preference surveys according to – the research institute close to Fidesz told MTI on Thursday. Compared to their survey at the end of October, however, it can be seen that, despite this, Századvég also saw a weakening in the support of the governing parties.
According to the November results, the Fidesz-KDNP ranks at 38 percent among voters who are politically active, certain or likely to participate in the election – Századvég still measured 40 percent for the ruling party in October. The Tisza Party currently follows with 32 percent, this number was 31 percent in October.
The third place was taken by the Hungarian Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (MKKP) with 9 percent, while Mi Hazánk maintains its stable 6 percent, also measured in October. According to Századvég, the support of the Democratic Coalition is currently at the 5 percent entry threshold, while Momentum and MSZP remain below that threshold with 2 and 1 percent. The proportion of those who are unsure and refuse to answer is 6 percent.
Regarding the preferences of active party voters, the government parties are currently at 40 percent, while the Tisza Party is at 35 percent, which also shows the convergence of the two parties, when compared with the results of 43 and 34 percent researched in October.
Századvég collected the data between November 14 and November 19, and conducted the research among the politically active, adult Hungarian population by interviewing a thousand adults.
Just on Thursday, before the publication of Századvég’s research, a recent survey by Median came out, according to which the Tisza Party already stands at 47 percent among sure party voters, while Fidesz only has 36 percent. We spoke with political analyst Zoltán Lakner on the Telex broadcast about how much this means a real, 11 percent Tisza advantage.
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## fidesz-KDNP lead Shrinks as Tisza Party Gains Momentum in Latest Hungarian Polls
**Budapest, Hungary** – The Hungarian political landscape is experiencing a noticeable shift, as revealed by recent polling data released by research institute Századvég and corroborated by independent surveys conducted by Median. While the governing Fidesz-KDNP coalition retains the highest level of support, their lead is shrinking as the newly formed Tisza Party continues to climb in popularity. To better understand these trends and their potential implications,World Today News spoke with leading political analyst,Dr.Zoltán Lakner.
Dr. Lakner, a renowned expert on Hungarian politics with decades of experiance in political analysis and research, has closely followed the evolution of the Hungarian political scene. His insights shed light on the factors driving these shifts in voter sentiment and what they might mean for the upcoming elections.
### Tightening Race: A Closer Look at the Numbers
**WTA:** Dr. Lakner, Századvég’s latest poll shows the Fidesz-KDNP coalition at 38%, a slight dip from 40% in October. Meanwhile, the Tisza Party has risen to 32%. How important is this narrowing gap, and what factors might be contributing to it?
**Dr. Lakner:** This trend is undoubtedly significant. While Fidesz-KDNP remains in the lead, the narrowing margin points to a shift in voter preferences. The Tisza Party’s continued rise, coupled with the slight dip in Fidesz support, suggests a growing dissatisfaction with the current government and a desire for change among a segment of the electorate.
**WTA:** The Median poll paints an even more dramatic picture, placing the Tisza Party ahead of Fidesz among sure voters. Is this a reliable indicator of the current sentiment, or are there other factors at play?
**Dr. Lakner:** It’s crucial to remember that polls provide a snapshot in time and can be susceptible to variations depending on methodology and sampling techniques. While the median results are noteworthy, it’s too early to definitively declare a Tisza Party lead. We should monitor future polls from different sources to confirm the trend.However, the fact that multiple polls are showing a tightening race indicates a real dynamic at play.
### Voter Motivations and the Rise of the Tisza party
**WTA:** What are the key factors driving the Tisza Party’s popularity,and what demographic groups seem to be most drawn to their message?
**Dr.Lakner:** The Tisza Party has capitalized on a sense of stagnation and disillusionment with the status quo. Their message resonates with voters who feel unheard or neglected by the established political parties. They offer a fresh option, promising economic revitalization and a more responsive government. Their appeal seems notably strong among younger voters and those living in urban areas.
### Implications for the 2024 Election
**WTA:** How could these shifting dynamics impact the outcome of the 2024 elections?
**Dr. Lakner:** The 2024 elections are shaping up to be fiercely contested. the narrowing gap between Fidesz-KDNP and the tisza Party introduces a significant level of uncertainty. If the Tisza Party continues its upward trajectory, they could pose a serious challenge to the ruling coalition’s dominance.The outcome will hinge on their ability to maintain momentum, broaden their appeal, and effectively mobilize voters.
### Looking Ahead
**WTA:** what are your predictions for the remainder of the campaign season?
**Dr. Lakner:** I expect the campaign to be highly polarized and intensely competitive.Both sides will mobilize their bases and strive to sway undecided voters. the issues of economic inequality, social welfare, and democratic values will likely be central to the debate. Ultimately, the Hungarian electorate will have a critical decision to make: continue with the established order or embrace a new direction.
**Key Takeaway:**
The Hungarian political landscape is experiencing a significant shift, with the Tisza Party emerging as a strong contender against the long-standing Fidesz-KDNP coalition. The upcoming elections promise to be highly contested,with the outcome possibly shaping the future direction of Hungary.
**Join the discussion:**
What are your thoughts on these latest poll results? Share your opinions in the comments below.
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