2024. november 28. – 16:17
The governing parties continue to have the highest social support Szadvég’s November party preference surveys according to – the research institute close to Fidesz told MTI on Thursday. Compared to their survey at the end of October, however, it can be seen that, despite this, Századvég also saw a weakening in the support of the governing parties.
According to the November results, the Fidesz-KDNP ranks at 38 percent among voters who are politically active, certain or likely to participate in the election – Századvég still measured 40 percent for the ruling party in October. The Tisza Party currently follows with 32 percent, this number was 31 percent in October.
The third place was taken by the Hungarian Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (MKKP) with 9 percent, while Mi Hazánk maintains its stable 6 percent, also measured in October. According to Századvég, the support of the Democratic Coalition is currently at the 5 percent entry threshold, while Momentum and MSZP remain below that threshold with 2 and 1 percent. The proportion of those who are unsure and refuse to answer is 6 percent.
Regarding the preferences of active party voters, the government parties are currently at 40 percent, while the Tisza Party is at 35 percent, which also shows the convergence of the two parties, when compared with the results of 43 and 34 percent researched in October.
Századvég collected the data between November 14 and November 19, and conducted the research among the politically active, adult Hungarian population by interviewing a thousand adults.
Just on Thursday, before the publication of Századvég’s research, a recent survey by Median came out, according to which the Tisza Party already stands at 47 percent among sure party voters, while Fidesz only has 36 percent. We spoke with political analyst Zoltán Lakner on the Telex broadcast about how much this means a real, 11 percent Tisza advantage.
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## Is fidesz Losing Ground? Analyst weighs in on Latest Hungarian Election Polls
**Budapest, Hungary (November 29, 2024)** – Recent polls suggest a tightening race in the upcoming Hungarian election.While the ruling Fidesz-KDNP coalition still holds the lead, recent surveys from Századvég and Median suggest a narrowing gap with the opposition Tisza Party. To unpack these findings and explore their potential implications, World-Today-News spoke with Dr. Zoltán Lakner,a prominent political analyst and commentator. Dr. Lakner specializes in Hungarian politics and electoral trends, providing valuable insight into the dynamics shaping the upcoming election.
### Shifting Political Landscape
**World-Today-News:** Dr. Lakner, recent polls from Századvég and Median present somewhat divergent pictures regarding the popularity of Fidesz and the Tisza Party. Can you help us make sense of these differing results?
**Dr. Zoltán Lakner:** Indeed, the polls do tell a somewhat different story. Századvég, closely linked to Fidesz, shows the governing coalition maintaining a lead, albeit a shrinking one. Conversely,Median’s data suggests a more substantial advantage for the Tisza Party among decided voters. This discrepancy underscores the importance of considering the methodology and potential biases inherent in any polling data.
**World-Today-News:** What factors could be contributing to this apparent shift in support?
**Dr. Zoltán Lakner:** Several factors could be at play. The Tisza Party has been actively campaigning on issues resonating with voters, such as economic concerns and social justice. Furthermore, the public may be seeking a change after years of Fidesz rule, leading to a greater openness to alternative political voices.
### The Importance of Turnout and Undecided Voters
**World-Today-News:** Századvég’s poll also highlights a notable portion of respondents who remain undecided. How might this factor influence the final outcome?
**Dr. Zoltán Lakner:** Undecided voters hold immense potential to swing the election. Their decisions will likely be influenced by candidates’ performance in the remaining campaign period, media narratives, and potential unforeseen events.
**Dr. Zoltán lakner:** “The turnout rate can also be a decisive factor. Historically, Fidesz has excelled at mobilizing its base.However, if the opposition can successfully motivate undecided voters and increase overall turnout, it could considerably impact the election outcome.”
### Looking Ahead
**World-Today-News:** What are your predictions for the coming weeks leading up to the election?
**Dr.Zoltán Lakner:** We can anticipate an increasingly intense and possibly polarized campaign. Both Fidesz and the Tisza Party will strive to solidify their support bases and attract undecided voters. The next few weeks will be crucial in shaping the final outcome.
**Key Takeaways**
The latest polls paint a complex picture of the Hungarian political landscape, with both Fidesz and the Tisza Party vying for the lead.The race appears to be tightening, with undecided voters and turnout playing a crucial role in determining the ultimate winner.
**What are your thoughts on the upcoming election? Share your insights in the comments below!**
**For further reading on Hungarian politics,check out these related articles:**
* [fidesz’s Tightening grip on Power](link to relevant article)
* [The Rise of Opposition Parties in Hungary](link to relevant article)
* [Hungary’s Political Future: An Uncertain Path](link to relevant article)
