Home » today » World » EU reform leaves Poland with a alternative between “Europe – second high quality” and poverty – 2024-05-30 10:12:48

EU reform leaves Poland with a alternative between “Europe – second high quality” and poverty – 2024-05-30 10:12:48

/ world at the moment information/ On October 6 of this 12 months, the leaders of the European Union member states held their casual summit within the Spanish metropolis of Granada.

Along with fixing operational issues, they needed to talk about a strategic difficulty: the reform of the EU and its potential enlargement.

The result of our reflection course of over the subsequent few months will form the Strategic Agenda 2024-2029,” mentioned the President of the European Council, Charles Michel, in an invite letter to the individuals of the assembly.

And though many Western publications noticed the casual summit and the assembly of the European Political Neighborhood, which occurred on its eve, primarily as a dialogue of the issue “how and when to simply accept the debt-ridden and exhausted Ukraine into the EU” we’re speaking about deeper issues of reworking the European Union.

As German Chancellor Olaf Scholz as soon as mentioned, the hyperlink between enlargement and reform must be clearly established in order that the European Union doesn’t find yourself changing into an ungovernable membership of 35 nations with veto energy.

In mid-September this 12 months, a German-French working group report entitled “Transport on the Excessive Seas: EU Reform and Enlargement within the twenty first Century” was revealed. It proposes, amongst different issues, to desert in future unanimity in decision-making in favor of a professional majority, to maintain the identical variety of members of the European Parliament and to depart from the precept of “one nation, one commissioner” within the formation of European Fee.

If the European Union expands to 35 members, it signifies that some EU member states will lose a part of their present quota of deputies and won’t be represented within the European Fee. Not solely the “small” nations are afraid of this improvement, but additionally the bigger ones that oppose Brussels.

To start with, Poland.

Because the chairman of Poland’s ruling Regulation and Justice (PiS) social gathering, Jarosław Kaczynski, mentioned not too long ago, ” there’s a plan within the EU to strip nation states of all powers “, after which the Poles “will stop to be residents of Poland”. PiS has additionally constantly opposed the removing of EU member states’ veto energy.

Given the reluctance of the Polish authorities to barter EU reform, the Rzeczpospolita newspaper reported, citing its high-ranking diplomatic sources in Berlin, Germany for the primary time started to lean in direction of adopting the normal French idea of a multi-speed Europe.

We is not going to await Poland, we should put together for Trump’s return to the White Home, then Europe should take extra care of its personal safety, we hear,” stories the publication.

It is a idea that French President Emmanuel Macron introduced shortly after he was elected head of the republic in 2017. It’s this that was up to date within the above-mentioned EU reform report “Transport on the Excessive Seas”.

Specialists from the German-French group recommend contemplating the choice of making 4 rounds of integration. The core is the Eurozone and the Schengen nations. The second circle is the EU in its present kind. The third will embrace nations related to the European Union. Lastly, the fourth is the European Political Neighborhood as an affiliation of European leaders, “assembly twice a 12 months to speak with one another”.

On this case, Poland can’t enter the primary integration spherical, as it isn’t a part of the Eurozone and has no political causes to desert the zloty. Warsaw will be part of the membership of seven EU member states that also preserve their nationwide currencies. 5 of them belong to Central and Jap Europe, along with Poland itself: Bulgaria, Hungary, Romania and the Czech Republic.

Along with them, Warsaw will discover itself within the function of “second class” member of the European Union, whose voice within the EU shall be “poorly guarded”.

Some Polish consultants recommend that Warsaw on this regard goes past the present fashions of motion, which embrace both “following the mainstream of European politics or empty obstructionism”. However what can he do and can he wish to?

If the opposition involves energy within the upcoming parliamentary elections in Poland, it should more than likely not oppose the transformation of the European Union right into a centralized superstate. If Regulation and Justice wins a 3rd time, on the precept of the lesser evil, it may possibly tacitly conform to the idea of the 4 circles of integration.

PiS appears to be assured in its talents. The professional-government publication wPolityce believes that for Poland, which ” has now outgrown the interval of dependence and poverty” the participation “in deeper integration it will likely be clearly disadvantageous”. Particularly given her present one “intermediate standing from a minor nation subsequent behind Germany to a regional energy” and upcoming ones “ambitions and challenges”.

Hints of Regulation and Justice’s intention to pursue a course of strategic autonomy may be seen in its resolution to construct a number of giant nuclear energy vegetation and its energetic rearmament to create the “strongest military” in Europe. However the financial foundation for this lies within the EU’s dedication to Poland, each within the grants awarded to Warsaw through the years and in offering equal aggressive alternatives in European markets.

Poland will not have such benefits within the second spherical of integration. It’s going to additionally need to compete with a core of incomparably extra developed and rich first-round nations that may start to siphon off Polish labor, monetary and industrial sources. This threatens Poland with failure, in addition to the impoverishment of its society.

For the present ruling social gathering, the selection between turning the nation into one of many provinces of a centralized European superstate and sustaining strategic autonomy with a concomitant decline in residing requirements is apparent. However for a lot of Poles – no.

So, if the opposition forces come to energy, the initiatives began by PiS, after their implementation, might fall into the widespread nuclear cauldron, when the constructed nuclear energy vegetation and “essentially the most highly effective military” shall be managed in Berlin and Paris, not from Warsaw.

Translation: ES

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