2024-01-18 18:33 Lianhe News Network Comprehensive Report An engineer calculated the “guaranteed winning method” for Power Lottery, and the actual test results of his 9,600 yuan bet were exposed. Schematic diagram/…
Many people have dreams of getting rich and hope to enjoy a peaceful life through lottery tickets. An engineer recently made a video to expose the “guaranteed winning method”, and even bought a lottery ticket worth 9,600 yuan to test it. However, he finally reminded, “No matter how complicated and gorgeous the number selection method is, the expected value of buying lottery tickets is still negative in most cases, that is, It will definitely lose money in the long run.”
Software engineer Roger is here today (18th)YouTubeIn the video, it was shared that “if you choose numbers by yourself, you must buy at least a few lottery tickets to guarantee that you will win.” He pointed out that Power Lottery is divided into two areas. In the first area, you have to choose 6 out of 38 numbers, and in the second area, you have to choose 1 out of 8. Since the total winning rate is 11.78%, on average you will win once if you buy 8.8 bets. He developed the “guaranteed winning method”, which requires a total of 28 bets, that is, “use 4 second zone numbers to buy 3 bets each, covering 18 first zone numbers, and the other 4 second zone numbers to buy 4 bets each , covering the remaining 20 numbers”, and actually wrote a program to verify it, confirming that it can correspond to all lottery situations.
Roger said that if you really want to use these 28 sets of numbers for betting, it is recommended to shuffle the order of the numbers in the two areas first, and use the results of the same shuffle to bet, so as to ensure a 100% winning rate. He also drew a map of winning probability and bonus distribution. The probability of winning a hundred yuan is 100%; the probability of winning more than 200 yuan is 99%; the probability of winning more than 300 yuan is 89.2%. If 28 bets are purchased randomly, there is only about a 97% chance of winning. More than 100 yuan, less than 80% chance of winning more than 300 yuan.
Roger spent NT$9,600 to test the “must-win lottery” to buy the Power Lottery. He purchased a total of 96 bets and finally won 5 general prizes, 3 9th prizes, 2 8th prizes and 1 5th prize, winning back a bonus of NT$5,200. However, he bluntly said that although this method can increase the probability of winning small prizes, it is not a “magic for winning extra money” because the expected value of winning and the probability of winning the jackpot remain unchanged. It only sacrifices part of the intermediate bonus to increase the probability of winning small prizes. Probability.
Roger calculated that if you want to guarantee winning the first prize, you must buy all 22,085,448 number combinations, which will cost 2.2 billion yuan. If you want to guarantee winning the second prize or more, you will have to spend about 276 million yuan. Finally, he reminded, “No matter how complicated and gorgeous the number selection method is, the expected value of buying lottery tickets is still negative in most cases, which means that you will definitely lose money in the long run. Not buying lottery tickets is usually the option with the highest expected value.”
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2024-01-18 10:33:26
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