The record and the current series in the Bundesliga speak clearly for Borussia Dortmund. The greed for the first title is greater at RB Leipzig, the bitter 2: 3 defeat is also spurred on. How can Julian Nagelsmann and his team end the BVB complex with the last seven games without a win (5 defeats, 2 draws) this Thursday in the cup final in Berlin (8.45 p.m. / ARD)? The ambitious coach, who is repeatedly praised as a tactical fox, has announced an adequate analysis.
What was noticeable about the defeat against BVB?
The current form of RB defense chief Dayot Upamecano is almost frightening: In his 100th starting eleven, the 22-year-old Frenchman initially only won 30 percent duels – no Leipzig had less. In addition, the future Bayern player made numerous playback errors (ten bad passes) in the build-up of the game. For comparison: Lukasz Piszczek from Dortmund had 91 percent duel quota in the first half.
The hit rate of BVB around striker Erling Haaland is more effective!
Dortmund almost always meet – most recently in the 45th competitive game in a row. With ten assists Guerreiro Sancho (8 goals) presented himself in brilliant shape. At RB Dani Olmo has 14 goal participations, but only five hits. With the last ailing Norwegian Haaland, the return of the best BVB goalscorer (25 Bundesliga goals) is due before the cup final. Without Haaland, BVB only scored 1.4 Bundesliga goals per game (5 games), with him 2.3 (26 games). What else speaks for Dortmund? The shape of BVB captain Marco Reus, who scored five goals in his last eight competitive appearances.
The goalkeeper duel speaks for Leipzig!
After conceding three goals, Péter Gulácsi, the best Bundesliga goalkeeper with 15 clean games, said: “We didn’t defend as we imagined.” Unusual for the best defense in the league. Because that meant RB remained in the ninth Bundesliga game against BVB in a row without a “white vest” – club negative record. Nevertheless, the entire season’s performance speaks for the Hungarian national goalkeeper. Especially since Roman Bürki, who was substituted on after an injury to Marwin Hitz against RB, was last used on January 22nd (2: 4 against Gladbach). He therefore has little match practice.
The record speaks clearly against the lawn ball athletes!
In the history of the Bundesliga, the Saxons have never before been without a win against an opponent as long as against BVB. RB has now been without a win against BVB for seven games (5 defeats, 2 draws). In addition, Leipzig suffered two away defeats in a row in the league for the first time since December 2018 and lost two of the last three league duels. The result comes precisely in the decisive phase, when it comes to the “best season in the club’s history” (Nagelsmann) and the first title. “The record is not outstanding. It’s time we won a game,” Nagelsmann appealed to his team.
RB often came back strong after defeats this season!
Nagelsmann’s young troop work like a stand-up man. RB has shown this mentality many times this season. Especially when there was a hail of internal and public criticism after defeats, the Leipzigers were back: after the 0: 5 bankruptcy in Manchester and the following 0: 1 defeat in Gladbach, RB reported in November with a 2: 1 win over Paris Saint-Germain back. After the 2: 3 defeat in Mainz, RB reacted with three clear games against Leverkusen (1: 0), Bochum (DFB-Pokal / 4: 0) and Schalke (3: 0). Even after the 2-0 home defeat against Liverpool in the premier class, a 3-0 win at Hertha followed in Berlin.
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