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Egg prices still have room to strengthen in the first half of the year due to the seasonal strength before the spot festival_Sina Finance_Sina.com

Source: Minmetals Futures Author: Minmetals Futures

Research report text

egg

The delivery of goods slowed down, and the price of eggs in the main production areas continued to drop, falling 0.11 yuan to 4.94 yuan/catties, and Xinji 4.44 yuan/catties.

Domestic demand is picking up rapidly, superimposed Taoji is speeding up the slaughter, and the seasonal strength of spot goods before the festival is stronger than expected, and the near contract is supported, but the 05 and other contracts are also expected to be relatively full, and the upper pressure is gradually rising;

In the mid-term, the egg market is still facing a pattern of low inventory and gradual recovery of consumption. In the first half of the year, egg prices still have room to strengthen. It is recommended to wait for the fall to buy.

【Hog】

The price of pigs across the country continued to rise slightly, with the average price of foreign three yuan rising by 0.38 yuan to 15.17 yuan/kg, the average price of Henan 15.8 yuan/kg, and Sichuan 14.73 yuan/kg. However, the pre-holiday stocking has been gradually completed, and the purchase plan at the slaughtering end has a certain reduction expectation. The overall rise in pig prices may be limited, and the operation is stabilizing;

Pre-holiday consumption is released intensively, slaughtering volume is heavy, and weight drops rapidly at the same time, but the year-on-year level is still high, and the fat pig discount shows that the backlog of production capacity has not been fully cleared. In the future, attention will be paid to the effect of low-price reduction of production capacity, as well as the price rebound after the low-level shock Time, weak reality game and strong expectations, can be alternately carried out in the near month when the price is high and the month when the price is low.

Associated species of fresh eggs and pigs Affiliated company: Minmetals Futures
Associated species of fresh eggs and pigs Affiliated company: Minmetals Futures
Associated species of fresh eggs and pigs Affiliated company: Minmetals Futures
Associated species of fresh eggs and pigs Affiliated company: Minmetals Futures

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