When the Iranian-Saudi agreement was announced from Beijing, the decision-making circles in France, especially those concerned with the Lebanese file and the files of the region, mobilized, and tried to push for the adoption of the barter theory between the presidency and the government, and tried to pressure Saudi Arabia to accept its proposal, because it realizes that the French role It will shrink with every Arab-Arab or Arab-Iranian agreement.
France is still trying to pass a Lebanese political settlement before it is too late for it, although some consider that it is already too late when life returned to political relations between Syria and Saudi Arabia, and follow-up political sources indicate that the Saudi-Syrian and Saudi-Iranian rapprochement will certainly come at the expense of the role The French that France tried to play after the Beirut port explosion, and the harsh attack by Christian political forces in Lebanon on Paris is nothing but evidence of the weakness of this role.
During the past four years, when France returned to Beirut, its role was great for a main reason, which is its ability to dialogue with all Lebanese components, including Hezbollah, and it was the only major foreign country to openly talk to the party, and to visit its ambassador in Beirut, Haret Hreik, naturally and permanently. It was also the only major country that had good relations with Tehran, and this made its role grow because it formed the link between the two parties to the conflict in the region, and today, with the convergence of the parties to the conflict, it loses its main role, and its ability to influence diminishes, and the alternative comes to the Arab role that was translated through the Qatari visit To Beirut, which will be the title of the next stage.
Today, the Lebanese football is mainly in the hands of the Arab countries and Iran, without forgetting the American role, which has reaffirmed its presence through the sword of sanctions. Therefore, the Arab team will have a close move in Lebanon during the month of May, according to what the sources reveal through Al-Nashra, in an attempt to anticipate the next stage of collapse. Determined by the end of the term of the Governor of the Banque du Liban, Riad Salameh. The sources indicate that the Qataris have a full vision of Lebanon’s fate in the event of a vacuum in the bank’s governance, and the Arabs share the vision with them, so there is an effort to prevent access to a vacuum in this center because it would be the most dangerous for the country, as it is more dangerous than a presidential vacuum and government paralysis.
The Arab movement, according to the sources, will precede the Arab summit that will be held in Riyadh on May 19, and Qatar seeks that the summit be appropriate to agree on a Lebanese solution, and the sources confirm that the Beirut file will be present during the Arab summit, which will witness bilateral and tripartite meetings in this framework, but of course the final result of each endeavor It is in the hands of the Lebanese, bearing in mind that the situation in the region does not bode well, as there are Israeli attempts to shake stability, which will have a catastrophic economic and social impact in Lebanon if the situation continues as it is.
The Lebanese political forces were able to come to an understanding and agree to postpone the municipal elections, and an understanding is now taking place to exchange roles to legislate the postponement, but they are unable to sit at one table to reach an understanding on the file of the presidency and the government, in order to try to get Lebanon out of its predicament!
