The re-election of Emmanuel Macron on April 24 was immediately followed by numerous speculations as to a government reshuffle taking into account the recomposition of the political landscape at work.
As early as 2016, Emmanuel Macron’s political offer had pivoted on the disqualification of parties deemed outdated and on overcoming the left-right divide. The scenario of the 2022 presidential campaign which is ending will have shown to what degree our political life dangerously continues to fracture. The incorporation into the presidential majority, driven by Emmanuel Macron, of the vast nebula ranging from the center left to part of the Les Républicains (LR) party, now faces the entrenchment of a radical and two-headed challenge, that of the Rassemblement national (RN) which obtained 41.46% of the vote, and that of La France Insoumise, 22% in the first round, carried in particular by an important vote of the youngest.
As the legislative elections of June 2022 become the fateful deadline of the five-year term which opens, the staffs are getting organized. It is in this context that the singular question of the status of Édouard Philippe, former Prime Minister insolently popular.
He had founded his own party, Horizons on October 9th. Four days after Emmanuel Macron’s qualification for the second round, he welcomedthe president-candidate in Le Havre, a visit which concluded an important political journey: Pau (fiefdom of François Bayrou) on March 17 and Special (centre-Finistère, stronghold of Richard Ferrand) on April 5.
What architecture to revitalize the next presidential majority?
Bayrou-Ferrand-Philippe: three essential pillars for Emmanuel Macron’s second term but which also rejected the idea of a single party imagined by the candidate president.
In this context, how can the mayor of Le Havre manage his contortions between, on the one hand, his loyalty to Emmanuel Macron and, on the other, his legitimate personal political projection towards the future?
As head of a “presidentialized” parliamentary majority like never before, Edouard Philippe will have implemented the program of the candidate Macron for more than three years, although coming from a political family officially competing with his (Les Républicains) during the two elections of 2017.
The partition of the Ve Republic, in its articulation between the articles 8 et 49had been played in a daring way from June 18, 2017: the large LREM majority in the legislative elections had not led to the appointment of one of its own at Matignon in favor of Philippe then Jean Castex, also from from LR.
Macron-Philippe, an unresolved conflict of legitimacy
The unexpected problem, for the president, is that this institutional creativity has finally spawned a new avatar of the inverted popularity gap between the Élysée and Matignon. The narrative potential of this phenomenon has always been strong, but this time the challenge is potentially daunting for Emmanuel Macron, whose personal image has deteriorated. Have we ever heard the accusation of arrogance or “Prime Minister of the rich” against Edouard Philippe noted Mathieu Lindon in Liberation in April 2021 ? Non.
Although successively an inflexible promoter of the reform of the SNCF, the increase in the carbon tax and the reform of pensions, he even left Matignon very popular in 2020 while he was almost unknown when he entered it on May 15, 2017. Moreover, he persists in sitting in first place this month, and by far, in the list of favorite political personalities of the French. A crime of lèse-majesté, or “lèse-Jupiter”?
At the very least, a conflict of legitimacy is not settled between the two men. Until now, Edouard Philippe manages to balance the traces of it by his style, which provides him positively in terms of personal image. However, this performance can be weakened by two factors: its institutional vulnerability and its difficulty in assuming its political ambitions.
Weighting, leitmotif of an acclaimed “Philippe style”
Le power is always a matter of style, especially in our presidential regime. It is therefore necessary first of all to linger over a very personal disposition that the man has deployed up to now in his communication and which outlines a style that distinguishes him: the weighting. Close to the more philosophical-sounding virtue of moderation, it is given here as a constant quest for coherence supposed to allow the mayor of Le Havre to manage heavy paradoxes. In reality, the ideal of civility to which Edouard Philippe claims (ethical pillar of weighting) carries a certain vision of politics itself (its institutional translation), which is very present in his work Clear prints and lines. In the end, it is a kind of “radical weighting” that takes shape in a communication whose challenge consists, for the man, in resolving a growing tension between the Macronian dynamic which propelled him in 2017 and his new intentions. personal. So far this weighting has been deciphered mainly in the oratorical art of the character. It is undoubtedly for a lot in the success of its image.