Eagles or Packers, who is the favorite to win in Brazil?

Philadelphia and Green Bay face off at the Corinthians Arena in Sao Paulo in the first game in NFL history to be played in South America

It is not only because it is the first game in NFL history to be played in Brazil that the match between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Green Bay Packers, which you can enjoy in Latin America for Disney+is one of the most anticipated matches of the opening week of the 2024 season.

Both teams were in the playoffs last year and it is not far-fetched to think that they could even make it to the Super Bowl. The question that remains to be answered, then, is who is the favorite to win the game at the Corinthians Arena?

ESPN has a model that helps answer this question, the Football Power Index (FPI), a series of statistics that establish metrics for offense, defense, special teams, among other things, for each team. Based on this data, a computer simulates the matchups between the teams several times, trying to establish the probability of victory.

The Philadelphia Eagles and Green Bay Packers face off at the Corinthians Arena in Sao Paulo, Brazil. (AP Photo/Andre Penner)

For the matchup in Sao Paulo, Brazil, the Eagles are the favorites with a 59.4 percent chance of winning. The Packers have a 40.3 percent chance, while the remaining 0.3 percent is a rare tie.

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This same projection also calculates a possible difference in the score. Due to the equality between both teams, the Eagles are estimated to win, on average, by 3.5 points.

There’s another number that also boosts the Eagles’ confidence to beat the Packers on Friday. Over the past three seasons, with Jalen Hurts at quarterback and Nick Sirianni as head coach, the team has always won its Week 1 game.

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If they can string together four straight Week 1 wins, the Eagles would match what they did from 2016-19 and 2011-14. The franchise record is six straight Week 1 wins from 1942-47.

On the other hand, the Packers can rely on quarterback Jordan Love, who comes into the game on an excellent streak: four consecutive games with more than two touchdown passes and no interceptions.

The only Green Bay quarterback to have posted better streaks was Aaron Rodgers, now with the New York Jets, with seven consecutive games in 2021 and five in 2014.