“Dr. Thira” predicted 8 things after Thailand encountered a crisis “COVID-19” new wave
Date: 30 Dec 2020 at 5:47 PM
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Dr. Teera believes that there are almost a thousand cases of infection per day, totaling more than 30,000 people. The health system and the economy are shaken.
On December 30, 2020, Assoc. Prof. Teeraworathanarat, Faculty of Medicine Chulalongkorn University A Facebook post discussing the COVID-19 situation. That are spreading in Thailand at this time By specifying some text during certain episodes that …
For us in Thailand I think it’s time to give us some information and a forecast of the situation so that we can all prepare for what might happen next year. As follows …
First, we have entered a repeated outbreak / second wave / new outbreak / another outbreak … fully.
Two repeated outbreaks that we are going to face are this. Even in the future, we will take full measures (Including lockdown “if any” after mid-January Mixed with some looseness, some locks over the course of the pandemic), we will have the highest number of infections per day, reaching approximately 940 per day, or five times higher than the first wave, and it appears to be very clear that the fight against the repeated epidemic. This time We will spend at least 3 months.
Third, the total number of people expected to be infected from this repeated outbreak is estimated. 23,635-33,088 people, of which approximately 3,546-4,964 are severe, and 1,182-1,655 have ICU and / or ventilator patients, 237-331 dead without personnel / equipment shortage. / And medicine But if the shortage is as high as 473-662 people
Fourth from this repeated outbreak It is expected that the situation in Thailand will raise the world rankings around Australia or Finland. Now it seems very difficult to push the outbreak to the level of Hong Kong.
Five, with the current policy decision nature Both in terms of non-directional measures and slower than the situation Including a screening system that is not strong enough to cope with repeated outbreaks. This can be seen from the very limited number of examinations possible. In addition, there were problems with insufficiency of protective equipment. This can be seen from public donations by various hospitals. Which is a patient care outpost Makes anticipation that The health system may face difficulties in caring for infected patients. After 6-8 weeks, there will be a shortage of equipment needed to fight. Both from inadequacy Or forward distribution And that must be prepared to cope with Risk management for healthcare professionals at all levels And fatigue Which will affect work efficiency Results from maintenance And the loss of personnel from both infection and other causes.
Sixth, the broad economic impact will be difficult to follow. Especially night-seekers Including small and medium sized businesses In addition, it is expected to have a heavy impact on previous government programs. Especially about us traveling together Which would be difficult to carry on throughout the severe repeated outbreaks Because if you force to continue Will be in a heavy crisis from the three types of outbreaks of Japan
Seven, the situation of the health system is very shaky. Because next to this Caring for other diseases To the people will be greatly affected. And affect the health outcome of the patient To have more difficult access to medical services Multiple treatments are slower than before. It is also necessary to plan to reduce the risk of an outbreak in the hospital. Both in personnel working directly with patients Support personnel Including patients and relatives Both in the outpatient and inpatient departments
Eight of the characteristics of the outbreak repeated in the past few weeks. There is a high probability of a large outbreak in a variety of vulnerable groups. Variety of areas Various businesses and activities Because of our social structure and living culture, there are many vulnerabilities that viruses like to attack. Therefore, you must be careful in both the fresh market. Shopping malls, various merit-making events, parties, celebrations, weddings, funerals, attractions Until the new year’s countdown tomorrow too
Personally, I understand the reasons deeply And time for the decision of the Commission But this will help reduce the severity of the outbreak. If the state decides the final measure by this week or not later than next week.
What people like us can do right now is to protect themselves from infection. Or spread the infection to others without knowing
1. Stay home, stop the infection for the nation again.
2. Always wear a mask 100% when going out. And issued sparingly.
3. Prepare some supplies in the house.
4. Prepare the necessary medicine.
5. Haircut, hair, find a doctor, find a dentist … should be done this week if you can.
6. Work at home if possible.
7. Avoid using public transport. But if that can’t be avoided, protect yourself fully, put on a mask and use an alcohol gel.
Most important is Tomorrow Please Should not go to eat celebrating food outside. Should not go to see the lights, fireworks or any spinning show Because if you go You have the right to be part of the infected person. Or who spread infection to many people The result will be This outbreak will escalate. May be beyond what is stated above Which will see results in mid-January
But if you do not leave the house You will be able to help reduce this outbreak more or less. Benefit both ourselves and society
Happy for only one day … but a long disaster
Let’s stay at home …
With love to everyone
The origin https://www.facebook.com/thiraw
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