COVID 19 – Dr.Thira Assoc.Prof. Teerawontanarat, Faculty of Medicine Chulalongkorn University Revealed via Facebook Thira Woratanarat analyzes the COVID situation
Stating that turning to look at the lessons of the country that encountered a new wave And continue with another epidemic, what do they tell us
If the infection rate per day is ten digits On average, the infection is twice as likely to occur within 10 days.
If the infection rate per day is hundreds or thousands on average, it is twice the chance of being infected within 16-19 days, plus or minus about a week.
If the infection rate per day is tens of thousands On average, the infection is twice as likely to occur within 25 days. Plus, minus in about two weeks.
In addition, the timing of peak infection in the second wave of outbreaks can also predict the timing of potential recurrence of an outbreak. And if known in advance So that we can plan for it
When we understand this We will understand the thoughts of other countries. The main problem that every country must hit is So what is the real situation in my country?
Therefore there is no choice but to do as much as possible Covering a large population and continuously, not intermittent checks.
With publicly known information today, we honestly don’t know how many infections we actually have. I only know that someone is likely to be infected without knowing it. And / or have not been examined in large numbers And spread to many provinces
Best guess right now, if you want to make predictions for us all to prepare. Be careful in life And make a living plan Would estimate that The doubling chance can take 3-4 weeks.
Probably now evaluating precisely It is difficult for the next wave to occur. Because our repeat outbreak this time has not been in a constant, quiet state. Need to wait and see during the middle of March onwards to see
Emphasize that we all live consciously. Strictly protect yourself Regardless of the area
Always wear a mask, wash your hands often, and stay a meter away from other people. Avoid eating and drinking in the store. Better takeaway
Keep an eye on yourself and your family, and if you are unwell, you need to seek treatment and treatment. Do not let it go because there is a high chance of infecting others. Now is not a party time.
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