Donald Trump will try to stop the war in Ukraine no matter what

Donald Trump, the candidate of the Republican Party who won the US presidential election, will try to stop the war in Ukraine by any means, this is the opinion of Māris Andžans, director of the Center for Geopolitical Research and associate professor at Riga Stradins University (RSU). ), to the LETA group.

Monday marks 1,000 days since Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022. When asked to answer the question of how Ukraine might fare in the future, and whether the war ended with the victory of Ukraine, the RSU associate researcher emphasized that the election of Trump will change the course of the war and, speaking in parables, may “terrible limit” instead of “terrible limitless”.

He pointed out that it is not easy for Ukraine at the moment, because Russia is moving forward on the whole front, although with heavy losses, but this does not stop Russia. The Russian economy is improving, but it is clear that it will not be able to continue the war in the long term. Andzhan concluded that Russia is also able to outlast Ukraine.

“The Russian economy is ten times bigger, the population is three times bigger, so it’s easier to send people from the street to the front. “said the director of the Center for Geopolitical Research.

He pointed out that during his first presidency, Trump has been consistent in trying to implement his “most crazy plans”, such as banning Muslims from entering the United States, building a wall between Mexico and the United States. According to Andjan, the US is expected to be a new special representative on the issue of Ukraine to hold peace talks.

“It is clear that there are only loyalists in the Trump administration in the future. Different versions of what can be expected from the Trump team are coming out, for example, creating a demilitarized zone about 1,000 kilometers long, postponing Ukraine’s entry into NATO for 20 years, promising to help in return,” said the RSU associate professor.

He admitted that other solutions are also possible, but Trump will try to stop the war in Ukraine in any way, because the achievement of peace is also important to Trump voters and it doesn’t matter what the kind of peace it is, because they are watching. at the war in Ukraine from a distance.

The expert also has no doubts that Trump will keep his word and try to reach a settlement in the war between Russia and Ukraine. Andzhan confirmed that the formulas could be different, but the question of how Ukraine will deal with this remains unanswered. According to him, Trump will try to show his authority with his strength, because the previous president showed that Trump is a better warrior with tariffs than weapons.

According to Anjan, Trump boasted that he had not started any war during his first presidency, but he had ordered the execution of General Qasem Soleimani, the commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard unit. “Quds Force”, who was killed in a drone attack in Baghdad on January 3, 2020.

The RSU associate professor noted that Iran then launched ballistic missile strikes at bases in Iraq, the United States, but there was no retaliatory strike from the United States. This leads the expert to conclude that Trump will try to stop the war in Ukraine, but he will also not want to see the situation in Afghanistan where the administration of US President Joe Biden has put his own plan the action.

Anjan said that the US withdrew its forces from Afghanistan after a while and the country collapsed, while the Taliban took over, moving around with the military vehicles left behind by the Americans. According to him, Trump will not want to see the issue, the fall of Ukraine, but to stop the war on the current lines.

Also, the RSU associate professor admits that US aid to Ukraine will continue. He confirmed that one of the stalled versions is to return Crimea, eastern Ukraine and southern Ukraine to the head of the regime, Vladimir Putin, to accept such conditions, the US could pledge to continue supporting Ukraine.

When asked if the President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky would agree to such conditions of Trump, how would he justify to the Ukrainians, who have shed their blood for many years, who saw the Russians ‘ the destruction of their country, the director of the Geopolitical Research Center said that there is also great fatigue in Ukraine from the war, many have died, it is increasingly difficult movement

The RSU associate professor confirmed that, of course, he can try to continue the war by relying on European aid, but in his opinion, it could be dangerous for European countries not to to side with Trump, because he could criminalize the lack of support. In Andjan’s opinion, another option could be for European countries to continue supporting Ukraine, but it is not certain if it will be enough and what Trump will say about it. The expert said that there are some similarities with 2018, when Trump withdrew from the Iran nuclear agreement. The European Union (EU) tried to save the situation, but nothing came of it, and it did not improve Trump’s feeling towards the EU.