Despite a total of electors already sufficient to seal his return to the White House, Arizona marks an important symbol for the Republican Party. This success confirms the scale of Trump’s victory against Kamala Harris, at the end of an election where poll predictions were contradicted.
The return of Arizona to the Republican camp
After four days of counting, CNN and the Associated Press declared Donald Trump the winner in Arizona, a state long won by the Republican Party before its swing in 2020 in favor of Joe Biden. This reversal marks a strong symbol for Trump, who lost this crucial state by only 11,000 votes during the last election. Arizona, which adds eleven electoral votes to its score, brings Trump’s total to 312 electoral votes, thus surpassing the scores obtained by Joe Biden in 2020 (306) and by Trump himself in 2016 (304).
This victory in Arizona thus completes a series of successes in the “swing states”, with previous victories in Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan and Nevada. It does not alter the outcome of the election but reinforces the scope of Trump’s victory, marking clear Republican domination in states that are often unpredictable during presidential elections.
A popular victory that shakes up the Democrats
In terms of the popular vote, Donald Trump is ahead of Kamala Harris by nearly four million votes, a gap that leaves a lasting impression and pushes Democrats to introspect on their electoral strategies. If this trend is confirmed, Trump will become the first Republican president in twenty years to win the popular vote, an achievement which testifies to his anchoring with the electorate despite pessimistic forecasts in the polls.
This Republican triumph is also supported by a takeover of power in the Senate, which the party won back from the Democrats, and a good position to maintain its majority in the House of Representatives. By capitalizing on this legislative support, Trump will be able to move forward with a solid political foundation upon his inauguration on January 20.
A symbolic battle in Arizona for the Senate
This victory in Arizona comes at a time when the state’s senatorial seat was also hotly contested. Although Trump’s victory confirms Republican roots, Democrat Ruben Gallego nevertheless seems on the verge of winning the senatorial election against Republican Kari Lake, a figure eminently close to Trump. Paradoxically, this success of the Democrats in a state where Trump triumphs raises questions about electoral dynamics and voting coalitions in Arizona.
By winning Arizona and sweeping key states, Donald Trump affirms his return as the 47th president of the United States, strengthening the influence of the Republican Party in sometimes hesitant regions. This marked victory in the “swing states” opens a new chapter for the Republicans, where Trump’s populist message continues to rally a loyal and committed electoral base, ready to steer the country towards a resolutely conservative course.
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