Jorge Sahd, director of the UC Center for International Studies, carried out an analysis of the scenario ahead of the 2024 presidential elections in the United States.
The eyes of the world are on the North American country to see how citizens express themselves in this decision to elect a new president between Donnald Trump and Kamala Harris.
As a first assessment, the guest pointed out that “today, the favorite is Trump.” In any case, a very tough and close competition is expected, looking carefully at the polls.
As he indicated, “what you have to look at are the key states or hinge states. They are the ones who have been changing between Democrats and Republicans (…) that is where the great definition is.”
The specialist pointed out that, “since this election is so close, groups are being sought,” one of them is the Latino vote, a spectrum of citizens that is no less important and that always plays a fundamental role in each decision; “Today it is close to 15% of the electorate, with a significant impact in key states.”
“Today it shows an advantage towards the Democrats, of 10 points, but that is less than what Democrats tend to have,” he said, leaving even more room for speculation and uncertainty.
Another group to take into account is young people, “who could be more enthusiastic after the discouragement that Biden’s candidacy meant, especially due to his health problems.”
“Then we have to look at what industrial groups are, the working class and the multiple groups that are being formed in the United States,” he added, alluding to the most internal and ‘traditional’ part that does not generate major changes.
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