The President of Iran, Ebrahim Raisi, died in a helicopter crash on the nineteenth on the twenty third. The actual energy of the Iranian authorities remains to be within the palms of the Supreme Chief Ayatollah Ali Khamenei It’s anticipated that there will likely be at most a small continuity battle within the political area, and that there will likely be no main adjustments in overseas insurance policies as such. as overseas affairs sympathy on social media.
The helicopter carrying Iranian President Raisi crashed within the mountains of northwestern Iran on Might 19. Greater than 70 rescue groups from many nations have been dispatched to help within the search and rescue. Leahy and Iranian Overseas Minister Amir Dollan (Hossein Amir-Abdollahian) and all of his attackers have been killed. Iran’s de facto chief and Supreme Chief Ali Khamenei instantly named First Vice President Mohammad Mokhber as interim president and guaranteed the general public that the tragedy wouldn’t have an effect on the nation’s operations.
The official Islamic Republic Information Company (IRNA) reported that Khamenei introduced on the twentieth that Iran will instantly enter 5 days of nationwide mourning, which can also be one of many highest-level nationwide funeral ceremonies. . Mohsen Mansouri, govt vp and chairman of the funeral committee, mentioned that cities will start mass mourning ceremonies from the twenty first.
Mansouri mentioned that the stays of the victims of the catastrophe, together with President Raisi, will likely be moved slowly from Tabriz within the northwest over the subsequent three days, passing by means of cities comparable to Qom, public prayer ceremonies will likely be held from the capital Tehran to Mashhad, Iran. the second largest metropolis, and enormous and small prayer actions will likely be held in mosques all through the nation. Supreme Chief Ayatollah Ali Khamenei will maintain a funeral service (funeral prayer) for Raisi on Thursday night time. Mashhad is among the most necessary holy cities in Shiite Islam and the hometown of Raisi, who will likely be buried there on Thursday night time.
Picture/AFP
▌Bipolar emotions at residence and overseas
Judging from public opinion, Iran’s home response to Raisi’s demise has been polarized.
Within the night of the nineteenth century, beneath the steering of native governments and mosques, many individuals went to the streets to wish. Photos from the information company confirmed many individuals kneeling or sitting on the facet of the street, crying over the accident with tears streaming down their faces. The unhappy and passionate scene can also be a reminder of the nationwide grief in Iran after Qasem Soleimani, the commander of the “Quds Power” of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards was killed by the US army in 2020. At the moment, the Soleimani’s funeral was accompanied by mourning ceremonies in main holy cities, which have been useful for the political mobilization of teams throughout the nation. (Prolonged studying: Iran’s “martyr politics” after Soleimani’s demise: Iraq reported one other air strike, and the US army elevated its troops within the Center East by 3,000)
Nonetheless, there’s additionally numerous folks in Iran who’ve lengthy hated the brutal conservative authorities behind Leahy, and many individuals celebrated his demise. Not solely did Leahy play an lively function within the reign of terror within the Eighties after being elected president in 2021, he confronted a sequence of anti-government demonstrations, bringing into the headband present that began in 2022 due to the demise of the lady Amini. , and used an especially troublesome ban and The detention marketing campaign, in response, was much more anathema to opponents. (Prolonged studying: Iran’s “ethical policing”? The federal government’s pretend transfer and the motion’s unstoppable anger)
Due to this fact, Persian social media is stuffed with every kind of jokes and jokes about Raisi’s demise. Many political prisoners, refugees or members of the family of the victims posted movies of themselves dancing fortunately, and there have been additionally scenes in Tehran Personal fireworks have been set off. secretly celebrating the demise of “The Butcher of Tehran” Leahy. Some members of the Iranian diaspora held nationwide flags and cheered, whereas some Jews held Israeli flags and took part within the celebration.
As well as, because the European Union, the US, the United Nations and different worldwide communities have expressed sympathy for Leahy’s demise, many Iranian democrats overseas and European and European politicians America is dissatisfied with this and has posted on the social platform X, “# I am unable to characterize a hashtag” (#NotInMyName) to proceed criticizing Leahy’s actions on the human rights file.
Many figures towards the Iranian authorities celebrated the demise of President Raisi and shared their celebration on social media. On the left are the political prisoners who have been persecuted and sacrificed by Leahy…
▌Small scale energy shock
In accordance with Iran’s structure, if the president dies or turns into incapacitated, the primary vp takes over till elections are held inside a 50-day deadline on the longest. Not like different nations, Iran’s first vp is appointed slightly than elected. There are a number of vice presidents in Iran who additionally maintain different cupboard posts, and Appearing President Mohbel is taken into account to have the best rank.
The 68-year-old Mokhbel, like Leahy, is a follower of hard-line conservatives comparable to Khamenei, however Mokhbel’s political expertise is comparatively low, and prior to now he primarily served in areas of finance, communication and financial system. . Mokhbel heads the Govt Workplace of the Imam Khomeini Order (EIKO), which is understood for confiscating the property of political prisoners and refugees and can also be chargeable for the implementation of main and minor insurance policies associated to finance. enterprise and financial. The Related Press identified that Mokhbel is competent in worldwide legislation so he’s good at serving to Iran escape worldwide sanctions and develop its financial system externally.
IRNA has additionally introduced that the presidential by-election will likely be held on Friday, June 28. Candidates can register between Might 30 and June 3, and the marketing campaign will likely be held from June 12 to June 28.
Nonetheless, Iran’s democratic authorities’s suppression of political dissent for a number of years has lengthy discouraged the general public from being optimistic about elections. Within the Iranian parliamentary election in March of this 12 months, folks can nonetheless vote just for essentially the most excessive candidates Politicians a bit extra average are banned from working, together with the previous Prime Minister Hassan Rouhani. So, though the federal government actively inspired folks to exit and vote, the whole turnout was solely 41%, of which 5% have been spoiled votes, the bottom for the reason that Islamic Revolution. in 1979.
On account of Leahy’s sudden demise, the skin world predicts that there’ll nonetheless be a wave of small struggles in Iranian politics, in spite of everything, Khamenei is 85 years outdated, and it is rather seemingly that the subsequent president will take over his place and develop into the president. Due to this fact, many individuals will nonetheless attempt to compete for the presidency.
Khamenei’s son, Mojtaba Khamenei, can also be on the anticipated checklist, so some have questioned whether or not the tragedy might be a plot directed by Khamenei.
Iran has entered 5 days of nationwide mourning, with public mourning ceremonies held in cities.Picture/AFP
However regardless, Iran’s total home and overseas affairs coverage, together with its nuclear weapons growth plan and opposition to Israel, will stay firmly within the palms of Khamenei and the Guardian Council (Guardian Council) beneath his management. whoever succeeds, and the Iran that the skin world sees might not change a lot for the foreseeable future.
Along with Mojtaba, different conspiracy theories have appeared in Iran, questioning whether or not Israel and the US have been chargeable for the catastrophe.
Since Iran’s Islamic Revolution in 1979, Iran and Israel have been overtly hostile. ; Iran launched greater than 300 missiles and drones at Israel. However in the long run, neither facet meant to proceed the escalation of the battle.
As for conspiracy theories towards the US, a small group of Iranian political circles level to the outcomes of many years of US sanctions on Iran, claiming that the accident occurred due to the poor restore of its navy than American made Bell 212. Medium helicopters (Bell 212) have been bought from the US at the least earlier than 1979. Nonetheless, some analysts consider that Iran’s aviation security file has at all times been poor.
In truth, judging from Iran’s official response, though many voices blame the US, the Iranian authorities doesn’t intend to make this catastrophe a much bigger difficulty, and the federal government doesn’t intend to proceed responsible Israel or the US. Each Israel and the US have solemnly mentioned that they weren’t utterly concerned within the tragedy of Leahy and his social gathering.
Iran’s President Raisi is a hardline conservative with an extended historical past of persecuting political prisoners, so he is named the “Butcher of Tehran.” image…
Textual content/Wang Yingzhi
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2024-05-21 05:44:08
